Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox 9/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brad Peacock vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

The Houston Astros head to Fenway Park on Thursday, September 28, 2017 to take on the Boston Red Sox. The expected starting pitchers are Brad Peacock for the Astros and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at +105 and Boston at -115. The Astros have a 78-70-9 over/under mark and a 83-74-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 82-75-0 against the run line and have a 68-83-6 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 78-70-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 83-74-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 68-83-6 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 82-75-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

09/26/17 2B Jose Altuve Forearm "?" Wednesday vs. Texas Rangers
09/14/17 CF Jake Marisnick Thumb 10-day DL (09/14)
07/01/17 P David Paulino Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return for the 2018 season)
04/20/17 P Jandel Gustave Forearm 60-day DL (04/19)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

09/26/17 RF Mookie Betts Wrist "?" Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
07/31/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 60-day DL (06/24)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Elbow 60-day DL (05/19)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros have a 97-60 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brad Peacock has a 12-2 record with an earned run average of 2.98 and a WHIP of 1.20. He has 159 strikeouts over his 127 innings pitched and he's given up 96 hits. He allows 6.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 643 hitters and walked 206 batters. As a team, Houston allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,278 base hits and 647 earned runs. They have allowed 188 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 511 batters and struck out 1,543. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .281, good for 1st in the league. The Astros hold a .478 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Jose Altuve is hitting .348 with an on-base percentage of .414. He has 199 hits this season in 572 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .554 and an OPS+ of 166. Josh Reddick is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 82 men in 477 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Astros have 1,526 hits, including 335 doubles and 230 home runs. Houston has walked 490 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,045 times as a unit. They have left 1,057 men on base and have a team OPS of .823. They score 5.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 862 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 91-66 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.91, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 6-6 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 148 strikeouts over the 135.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 120 hits. He allows 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.03 and they have given up 417 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 552 batters and walked 169 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,335 base knocks and 581 earned runs this season. They have given up 187 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 446 hitters and struck out 1,531 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.75.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 13th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .343. He has 164 hits this year along with 101 RBI in 619 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 107. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 149 hits in 554 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .394. The Red Sox as a team have 1,419 base knocks, including 291 doubles and 163 home runs. Boston has walked 559 times this season and they have struck out 1,179 times. They have had 1,105 runners left on base and have an OPS of .737. They have scored 4.85 runs per contest and totaled 762 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -115

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