Kansas City Royals at Boston Red Sox 7/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, July 28, 2017

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. David Price

The Kansas City Royals visit Fenway Park on Friday, July 28, 2017 to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jason Vargas for the Royals and David Price for the Red Sox.

The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +149 and Boston at -159. The Royals have a 45-50-5 over/under record and a 53-47-0 run line mark. The Red Sox are 52-51-0 against the run line and have a 46-53-4 over/under record.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 45-50-5 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 53-47-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 46-53-4 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 52-51-0 against the run line

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

07/26/17 C Salvador Perez Side "?" Friday vs. Boston
06/26/17 P Nathan Karns Forearm 60-day DL (05/21)
06/02/17 RF Paulo Orlando Shin 60-day DL (06/01)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

07/15/17 P Joe Kelly Hamstring 10-day DL (07/12)
07/10/17 P Robbie Ross Jr. Elbow 60-day DL (07/10)
06/24/17 2B Josh Rutledge Concussion 7-day DL (06/24)
06/16/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (05/04)
05/28/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (04/01)
05/28/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (04/30)
05/28/17 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 53-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas has a 12-4 record with an earned run average of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.24. He has 84 strikeouts over his 114 innings pitched and he's given up 111 hits. He allows 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.12. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.80 and they have given up 315 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 308 hitters and walked 142 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 883 base hits and 415 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 318 batters and struck out 760. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .254, good for 16th in the league. The Royals hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Eric Hosmer is hitting .319 with an on-base percentage of .375. He has 122 hits this season in 383 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .501 and an OPS+ of 129. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .268 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 98 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 366 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .413. The Royals have 870 hits, including 162 doubles and 127 home runs. Kansas City has walked 242 times so far this season and they have struck out 753 times as a unit. They have left 627 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 437 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 56-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.82, David Price has a 5-3 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 66 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 62 hits. He allows 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 261 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .222 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 326 batters and walked 108 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.69. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 880 base knocks and 383 earned runs this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 284 hitters and struck out 977 batters. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 3.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 8th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .284 with an OBP of .340. He has 103 hits this year along with 43 RBI in 363 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .416 with an OPS+ of 99. Mookie Betts is hitting .273 this season and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 112 hits in 411 at bats while driving in 61 runs. He has an OPS+ of 114 and a slugging percentage of .472. The Red Sox as a unit have 929 base hits, including 181 doubles and 102 homers. Boston has walked 363 times this year and they have struck out on 750 occasions. They have had 723 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.65 runs per game and totaled 479 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Royals +149

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