Mariners at Astros 4/6/2017 Free MLB Picks & Predictions
by Guy Bruhn - 4/5/2017
Thursday, April 6, 2017
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Ariel Miranda vs. Joseph Musgrove
The Seattle Mariners head to Minute Maid Park on Thursday, April 6, 2017 to take on the Houston Astros. The starters are Ariel Miranda for the Mariners and Joseph Musgrove for the Astros.
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The opening line for this game has Seattle at +151 and Houston at -161. The Mariners had a 80-76-6 over/under record and a 80-82-0 run line mark last season, meaning they covered 49% of the time. The Astros were 72-90-0 against the run line and had a 73-81-8 over/under record. They covered the spread 44% of the time.
Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners were 80-76-6 against the over/under last season
The Seattle Mariners were 80-82-0 against the run line last season
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros were 73-81-8 against the over/under last season
The Houston Astros were 72-90-0 against the run line last season
Key Seattle Mariners Injuries
04/03/17 P Rob Whalen Undisclosed 10-day DL (3/31)
04/03/17 P Shae Simmons Elbow 10-day DL (3/31)
04/03/17 SS Shawn O'Malley Appendix 10-day DL (3/31)
04/01/17 P Drew Smyly Arm 10-day DL (3/31)
03/31/17 P Steve Cishek Hip 10-day DL (3/31)
03/31/17 P Tony Zych Bicep 10-day DL (3/31)
Key Houston Astros Injuries
03/31/17 P Collin McHugh Undisclosed 10-day DL (3/30)
03/31/17 P David Paulino Undisclosed 10-day DL (3/30)
Useful Pitching Statistics
Starting pitcher Ariel Miranda had a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 3.88 and a WHIP of 1.12. He had 44 strikeouts over his 58 innings pitched and he gave up 47 hits last season. He allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 5.25. The bullpen last year had an earned run average of 3.60 and they gave up 463 base hits on the year. Teams hit .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 552 times and walking 182 times last season. As a team, Seattle allowed 8.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 batters per nine innings. They were 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.00. The Mariners pitchers collectively gave up 1,410 base hits and 647 earned runs. They allowed 213 home runs last season and they allowed 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a pitching staff walked 460 batters and struck out 1,318. They walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit was 4.30.
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As a team Seattle batted .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .262 average away from home. The Mariners held a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which was good for 9th in baseball. They ranked 7th in baseball with 8.93 hits per game. Robinson Cano is coming off a 2016 season in which he hit .298 with an on-base percentage of .350. He had 195 hits last season along with 107 runs scored and 103 runs batted in. He struck out 100 times and walked 47 times. Kyle Seager hit .278 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .359. He totaled 166 hits while scoring 89 runs and he drove in 99. He walked 69 times and struck out on 108 occasions. The Mariners had 1,446 hits, including 251 doubles and 223 home runs. They stole 56 bases and were thrown out stealing 28 times. Seattle walked 506 times last season and they struck out 1,288 times as a unit. They left 1,099 men on base and had a team OPS of .756. They scored 4.74 runs per contest and scored a total of 768 runs last year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
With an earned run average of 4.06, Joseph Musgrove had a 4-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP last season. He had 55 strikeouts over the 62 innings he pitched during which he gave up 59 hits. He allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 4.18. Last season the bullpen had an earned run average of 3.56 and they gave up 475 base hits on the year. Teams hit .227 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 617 times and walking 153 times last season. As a team, Houston allowed 8.84 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.56 batters per nine innings. They were 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.07. The Astros pitchers as a team surrendered 1,441 base knocks and 663 earned runs last season. They gave up 181 home runs last year and they gave up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff walked 453 hitters and struck out 1,396. They gave up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.29 while their FIP as a staff was 3.85.
As a team, they batted .247, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Astros held a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which was good for 19th in baseball. They ranked 23rd in baseball with 8.44 hits per contest. Jose Altuve comes into this matchup after batting .338 with an OBP of .396. He had 216 hits last year along with 108 runs scored and 96 RBI. He struck out 70 times and walked on 60 occasions. George Springer hit .261 in 2016 and he had an OBP of .359. He collected 168 hits while scoring 116 runs and driving in 82. He earned a walk 88 times and punched out 178 times. The Astros as a unit had 1,367 base hits, including 291 doubles and 198 homers. They had 102 stolen bases and were thrown out 44 times. Houston as a team walked 554 times last year and they struck out 1,452 times. They had 1,086 men left on base and had an OPS of .735. They scored 4.47 runs per game and totaled 724 runs last season.
Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners +151
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