Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians 9/28/2017 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 28, 2017

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ervin Santana vs. Carlos Carrasco

The Minnesota Twins visit Progressive Field on Thursday, September 28, 2017 to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Ervin Santana for the Twins and Carlos Carrasco for the Indians.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at +160 and Cleveland at -170. The Twins have a 72-75-10 over/under record and a 85-72-0 run line mark. The Indians are 79-78-0 against the run line and have a 60-87-10 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 72-75-10 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 85-72-0 against the run line

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 60-87-10 against the over/under

The Cleveland Indians are 79-78-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

09/26/17 P Bartolo Colon Illness left last game, "?" for next scheduled start
08/20/17 3B Miguel Sano Shin 10-day DL (08/21)
08/17/17 P Dietrich Enns Shoulder 10-day DL (08/17)
07/19/17 P Phil Hughes Illness 60-day DL (07/19)
07/06/17 P Hector Santiago Back 60-day DL (07/03)
05/28/17 P Justin Haley Shoulder 10-day DL (05/28)
05/28/17 P Ryan O'Rourke Forearm 60-day DL (03/30)
03/11/17 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/22)

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

09/20/17 RF Lonnie Chisenhall Calf out indefinitely
09/11/17 CF Bradley Zimmer Hand out for season
08/09/17 LF Michael Brantley Ankle 10-day DL (08/09)
07/30/17 P Boone Logan Back 60-day DL (07/20)
04/09/17 P Cody Anderson Elbow 60-day DL (04/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 83-74 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Ervin Santana has a 16-8 record with an earned run average of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 166 strikeouts over his 206.1 innings pitched and he's given up 173 hits. He allows 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 552 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the bullpen and they've struck out 461 hitters and walked 183 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,448 base hits and 718 earned runs. They have allowed 218 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 474 batters and struck out 1,128. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.73.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .261, good for 9th in the league. The Twins hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Brian Dozier is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 161 hits this season in 609 at bats with 90 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .486 and an OPS+ of 121. Eddie Rosario is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 154 hits and he has driven in 78 men in 527 at bats. His OPS+ is 122 while his slugging percentage is at .516. The Twins have 1,405 hits, including 278 doubles and 201 home runs. Minnesota has walked 579 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,289 times as a unit. They have left 1,114 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 5.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 798 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 98-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.43, Carlos Carrasco has a 17-6 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 212 strikeouts over the 191.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 167 hits. He allows 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.89 and they have given up 400 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 527 batters and walked 146 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,237 base knocks and 521 earned runs this season. They have given up 160 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 401 hitters and struck out 1,554 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 4th in the league. The Indians hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .338. He has 175 hits this year along with 88 RBI in 633 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .510 with an OPS+ of 117. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 139 hits in 539 at bats while driving in 103 runs. He has an OPS+ of 128 and a slugging percentage of .508. The Indians as a team have 1,413 base knocks, including 321 doubles and 207 home runs. Cleveland has walked 580 times this season and they have struck out 1,127 times. They have had 1,120 runners left on base and have an OPS of .789. They have scored 5.06 runs per contest and totaled 795 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Twins +160

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