Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Williams vs. Junior Guerra

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit Miller Park on Wednesday, June 21, 2017 to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Trevor Williams for the Pirates and Junior Guerra for the Brewers.

The opening line for this matchup has Pittsburgh at +114 and Milwaukee at -124. The Pirates have a 32-34-4 over/under record and a 35-35-0 run line mark. The Brewers are 44-28-0 against the run line and have a 41-28-3 over/under record.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 32-34-4 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 35-35-0 against the run line

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-28-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 44-28-0 against the run line

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

05/28/17 P Antonio Bastardo Quad 10-day DL (04/25)
05/28/17 P Josh Lindblom Side 10-day DL (05/20)
04/18/17 CF Starling Marte Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 07/18 vs. Milwaukee)

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

06/14/17 P Brandon Woodruff Hamstring 10-day DL (06/13)
06/10/17 2B Jonathan Villar Back 10-day DL (06/10)
05/27/17 LF Ryan Braun Calf 10-day DL (05/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 32-38 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Williams has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 34 strikeouts over his 52.1 innings pitched and he's given up 54 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen and they've struck out 225 hitters and walked 84 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 662 base hits and 307 earned runs. They have allowed 82 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 193 batters and struck out 513. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .247, good for 21st in the league. The Pirates hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Josh Harrison is hitting .297 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has 76 hits this season in 256 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .457 and an OPS+ of 115. Andrew McCutchen is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 66 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 254 at bats. His OPS+ is 110 while his slugging percentage is at .476. The Pirates have 589 hits, including 112 doubles and 66 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 243 times so far this season and they have struck out 511 times as a unit. They have left 507 men on base and have a team OPS of .715. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 297 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 38-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.84, Junior Guerra has a 1-1 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 21 strikeouts over the 31.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 22 hits. He allows 6.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.06. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.58 and they have given up 248 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 246 batters and walked 129 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 647 base knocks and 308 earned runs this season. They have given up 87 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 255 hitters and struck out 570 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.41.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Domingo Santana comes into this matchup batting .265 with an OBP of .361. He has 61 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 230 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .457 with an OPS+ of 112. Eric Thames is hitting .260 this season and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 58 hits in 223 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 153 and a slugging percentage of .596. The Brewers as a unit have 619 base hits, including 131 doubles and 104 homers. Milwaukee has walked 238 times this year and they have struck out on 694 occasions. They have had 471 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They have scored 4.83 runs per game and totaled 348 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates +114

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