Astros at Indians ALDS Game 3 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, October 8, 2018

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Mike Clevinger

The Houston Astros head to Progressive Field on Monday to take on the Cleveland Indians in Game 3 of the ALDS. Houston won 3-1 in Game 2 to take a 2-0 series lead. The expected starting pitchers are Dallas Keuchel for the Astros and Mike Clevinger for the Indians.

The odds for this matchup have Houston at -105 and Cleveland at -115. The Astros have a 70-85-9 over/under mark and a 85-79-0 run line record. The Indians are 75-89-0 against the run line and have a 77-76-11 over/under record.

Valuable Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 70-85-9 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 85-79-0 against the run line

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Cleveland Indians are 77-76-11 against the over/under

The Cleveland Indians are 75-89-0 against the run line

Key Houston Astros Injuries

05/21/18 LF Derek Fisher Intestinal 10-day DL (05/20)
03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

08/09/18 CF Leonys Martin Illness 60-day DL (08/09)
07/28/18 CF Tyler Naquin Hip 60-day DL (07/28)
07/04/18 RF Lonnie Chisenhall Calf 60-day DL (07/03)
06/20/18 P Evan Marshall Elbow 10-day DL (06/20)
05/04/18 P Danny Salazar Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Cody Anderson Elbow 60-day DL (02/25)
03/26/18 P Ryan Merritt Knee 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P James Hoyt Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Astros had a 103-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 12-11 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.31 this year. He has 153 strikeouts over his 204.2 innings pitched and he's given up 211 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.03 and they have given up 393 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 586 hitters and walked 137 batters. As a team, Houston allows 7.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.11. The Astros pitchers collectively have given up 1,164 base hits and 503 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Houston as a pitching staff has walked 435 batters and struck out 1,687. They have walked 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.24.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Houston is hitting .255, good for 7th in the league. The Astros hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Carlos Correa is hitting .239 with an on-base percentage of .323. He has 96 hits this season in 402 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .405 and an OPS+ of 102. Jose Altuve is hitting .315 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 168 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 534 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .449. The Astros have 1,389 hits, including 278 doubles and 205 home runs. Houston has walked 565 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,197 times as a unit. They have left 1,052 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 797 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland had a 91-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.02, Mike Clevinger has a 13-8 record and a 1.16 WHIP this season. He has 207 strikeouts over the 200 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 164 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.60 and they have given up 456 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 478 batters and walked 163 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,349 base knocks and 611 earned runs this season. They have given up 200 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 407 hitters and struck out 1,544 batters. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 2nd in the league. The Indians hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .352. He has 183 hits this year along with 92 RBI in 661 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .519 with an OPS+ of 131. Jason Kipnis is hitting .230 this season and he has an OBP of .315. He has collected 122 hits in 530 at bats while driving in 75 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .389. The Indians as a unit have 1,448 base hits, including 298 doubles and 216 homers. Cleveland has walked 554 times this year and they have struck out on 1,189 occasions. They have had 1,147 men left on base and have an OPS of .767. They have scored 5.05 runs per game and totaled 818 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Astros/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Astros -105

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