Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds 4/26/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, April 26, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sean Newcomb vs. Homer Bailey

The Atlanta Braves head to Great American Ball Park on Thursday, April 26, 2018 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb for the Braves and Homer Bailey for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at -114 and Cincinnati at -104. The Braves have a 10-9-3 over/under mark and a 13-9-0 run line record. The Reds are 10-13-0 against the run line and have a 10-13-0 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 10-9-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 13-9-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 10-13-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 10-13-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 C Tyler Flowers Oblique 10-day DL (03/30)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)
03/26/18 P Luiz Gohara Ankle 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/10/18 3B Eugenio Suarez Thumb 10-day DL (04/09)
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 12-10 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sean Newcomb has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.52 this year. He has 27 strikeouts over his 21.2 innings pitched and he's given up 22 hits. He allows 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the bullpen and they've struck out 88 hitters and walked 64 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 172 base hits and 84 earned runs. They have allowed 19 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 114 batters and struck out 214. They have walked 5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .262, good for 4th in the league. The Braves hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Ozzie Albies is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .317. He has 26 hits this season in 95 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .579 and an OPS+ of 146. Dansby Swanson is hitting .326 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 12 men in 86 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .512. The Braves have 205 hits, including 50 doubles and 24 home runs. Atlanta has walked 85 times so far this season and they have struck out 185 times as a unit. They have left 160 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 5.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 122 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 5-18 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.68, Homer Bailey has a 0-3 record and a 1.16 WHIP this season. He has 20 strikeouts over the 29.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 24 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.38 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 74 batters and walked 45 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 199 base knocks and 122 earned runs this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 96 hitters and struck out 175 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.20.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .227, good for 25th in the league. The Reds hold a .326 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.6 hits per contest. Scooter Gennett comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .330. He has 27 hits this year along with 13 RBI in 94 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .404 with an OPS+ of 103. Joey Votto is hitting .244 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 20 hits in 82 at bats while driving in 8 runs. He has an OPS+ of 81 and a slugging percentage of .293. The Reds as a unit have 175 base hits, including 29 doubles and 15 homers. Cincinnati has walked 81 times this year and they have struck out on 204 occasions. They have had 168 men left on base and have an OPS of .634. They have scored 3.48 runs per game and totaled 80 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -114

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