Atlanta Braves at New York Mets 9/27/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 27, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Jason Vargas

The Atlanta Braves visit Citi Field on Thursday, September 27, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Jason Vargas for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at -130 and New York at +110. The Braves have a 77-75-5 over/under record and a 81-76-0 run line mark. The Mets are 81-76-0 against the run line and have a 71-78-8 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 77-75-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 81-76-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 71-78-8 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 81-76-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/17/18 P Bobby Wahl Hamstring 60-day DL (08/17)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 89-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 9-8 record with an earned run average of 4.03 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 157 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he's given up 120 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.09 and they have given up 491 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 533 hitters and walked 262 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,210 base hits and 593 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 612 batters and struck out 1,365. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .422 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Nick Markakis is hitting .303 with an on-base percentage of .370. He has 184 hits this season in 608 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .449 and an OPS+ of 121. Freddie Freeman is hitting .310 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 187 hits and he has driven in 95 men in 604 at bats. His OPS+ is 140 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Braves have 1,400 hits, including 307 doubles and 174 home runs. Atlanta has walked 498 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,232 times as a unit. They have left 1,110 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 747 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 73-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.25, Jason Vargas has a 6-9 record and a 1.49 WHIP. He has 78 strikeouts over the 85 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 97 hits. He's allowing 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.03 and they have given up 534 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 500 batters and walked 218 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,333 base knocks and 656 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 475 hitters and struck out 1,398 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 27th in the league. The Mets hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .244 with an OBP of .350. He has 128 hits this year along with 81 RBI in 525 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 123. Amed Rosario is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .298. He has collected 139 hits in 536 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .388. The Mets as a unit have 1,251 base hits, including 259 doubles and 166 homers. New York has walked 544 times this year and they have struck out on 1,352 occasions. They have had 1,066 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.24 runs per game and totaled 666 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets +110

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