Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies 9/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 28, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman vs. Aaron Nola

The Atlanta Braves head to Citizens Bank Park on Friday, September 28, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Braves and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Atlanta at -125 and Philadelphia at +105. The Braves have a 77-76-5 over/under mark and a 81-77-0 run line record. The Phillies are 73-85-0 against the run line and have a 73-78-7 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 77-76-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 81-77-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-78-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 73-85-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/27/18 SS Dansby Swanson Hand is out indefinitely
09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 89-69 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kevin Gausman has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.29 this year. He has 142 strikeouts over his 178.2 innings pitched and he's given up 184 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 496 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 538 hitters and walked 262 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,216 base hits and 596 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season, ranking them 29th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 616 batters and struck out 1,378. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 with an on-base percentage of .386. He has 187 hits this season in 607 at bats with 95 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .502 and an OPS+ of 139. Nick Markakis is hitting .301 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .368. He has totaled 184 hits and he has driven in 93 men in 611 at bats. His OPS+ is 120 while his slugging percentage is at .447. The Braves have 1,402 hits, including 307 doubles and 174 home runs. Atlanta has walked 498 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,243 times as a unit. They have left 1,111 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 747 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 78-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.45, Aaron Nola has a 16-6 record and a 0.98 WHIP this season. He has 216 strikeouts over the 205.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 147 hits. He allows 6.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 525 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 562 batters and walked 214 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,332 base knocks and 650 earned runs this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 487 hitters and struck out 1,422 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 29th in the league. The Phillies hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .314, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .313. He has 139 hits this year along with 69 RBI in 542 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .423 with an OPS+ of 95. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 150 hits in 591 at bats while driving in 57 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .360. The Phillies as a unit have 1,248 base hits, including 234 doubles and 182 homers. Philadelphia has walked 563 times this year and they have struck out on 1,471 occasions. They have had 1,087 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They have scored 4.22 runs per game and totaled 666 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -125

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