Baltimore Orioles at Philadelphia Phillies 7/4/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: David Hess vs. Aaron Nola

The Baltimore Orioles head to Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, July 4, 2018 to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. The expected starting pitchers are David Hess for the Orioles and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

The odds for this matchup have Baltimore at +150 and Philadelphia at -160. The Orioles have a 34-47-2 over/under mark and a 31-52-0 run line record. The Phillies are 38-44-0 against the run line and have a 37-41-4 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 34-47-2 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 31-52-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-41-4 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-44-0 against the run line

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

06/27/18 CF Craig Gentry Ribs 10-day DL (06/24)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/26/18 P Dylan Bundy Ankle 10-day DL (06/26)
06/15/18 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day DL (06/14)
06/12/18 P Pedro Araujo Elbow 10-day DL (06/11)
05/11/18 P Chris Tillman Back 10-day DL (05/11)
05/02/18 SS Luis Sardinas Back 60-day DL (04/29)
04/25/18 P Gabriel Ynoa Shin 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

07/01/18 P Vince Velasquez Elbow 10-day DL (07/01)
06/26/18 P Edubray Ramos Shoulder 10-day DL (06/25)
06/20/18 SS J.P. Crawford Hand 10-day DL (06/20)
06/16/18 P Luis Garcia Wrist 10-day DL (06/16)
05/31/18 CF Pedro Florimon Foot 10-day DL (05/30)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 24-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Hess has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 5.94 and a WHIP of 1.53 this year. He has 26 strikeouts over his 47 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He allows 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 310 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 264 hitters and walked 142 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 4.85. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 824 base hits and 402 earned runs. They have allowed 108 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 298 batters and struck out 640. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 4.61.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .227, good for 30th in the league. The Orioles hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Manny Machado is hitting .310 with an on-base percentage of .377. He has 99 hits this season in 319 at bats with 59 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .564 and an OPS+ of 159. Adam Jones is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .313. He has totaled 94 hits and he has driven in 32 men in 327 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .437. The Orioles have 645 hits, including 122 doubles and 98 home runs. Baltimore has walked 229 times so far this season and they have struck out 740 times as a unit. They have left 528 men on base and have a team OPS of .670. They score 3.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 305 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 45-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.48, Aaron Nola has a 10-2 record and a 1.01 WHIP this season. He has 107 strikeouts over the 109 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 79 hits. He allows 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.21 and they have given up 266 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 296 batters and walked 107 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 680 base knocks and 323 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 251 hitters and struck out 753 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 26th in the league. The Phillies hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .268 with an OBP of .377. He has 84 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 314 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .389 with an OPS+ of 110. Odubel Herrera is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .337. He has collected 89 hits in 314 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .475. The Phillies as a unit have 641 base hits, including 126 doubles and 95 homers. Philadelphia has walked 321 times this year and they have struck out on 789 occasions. They have had 573 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.37 runs per game and totaled 358 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -160

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