Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins 6/21/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Kyle Gibson

The Boston Red Sox head to Target Field on Thursday, June 21, 2018 to take on the Minnesota Twins. The expected starting pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Kyle Gibson for the Twins.

The odds for this matchup have Boston at -120 and Minnesota at +110. The Red Sox have a 35-37-2 over/under mark and a 40-34-0 run line record. The Twins are 40-29-0 against the run line and have a 32-35-2 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 35-37-2 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 40-34-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 32-35-2 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 40-29-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

06/05/18 P Drew Pomeranz Biceps 10-day DL (06/02)
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (05/30)
05/25/18 DH Hanley Ramirez None has been released
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 10-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

06/10/18 C Jason Castro Knee is out for season
05/31/18 CF Byron Buxton Toe 10-day DL (05/30)
05/06/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 60-day DL (03/29)
03/28/18 SS Jorge Polanco Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 06/30 vs Chicago Cubs)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 49-25 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 8-3 record with an earned run average of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.16 this year. He has 89 strikeouts over his 92.1 innings pitched and he's given up 86 hits. He allows 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 193 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the bullpen and they've struck out 257 hitters and walked 95 batters. As a team, Boston allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.45. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 570 base hits and 257 earned runs. They have allowed 66 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 725. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.20 and their FIP as a unit is 3.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .261, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .450 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .317 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 84 hits this season in 265 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .630 and an OPS+ of 168. Andrew Benintendi is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 79 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 268 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .534. The Red Sox have 672 hits, including 151 doubles and 105 home runs. Boston has walked 236 times so far this season and they have struck out 583 times as a unit. They have left 509 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 5.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 373 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 32-37 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.27, Kyle Gibson has a 2-4 record and a 1.17 WHIP this season. He has 81 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He allows 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.04 and they have given up 247 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 246 batters and walked 78 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.1. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 589 base knocks and 285 earned runs this season. They have given up 86 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 233 hitters and struck out 618 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 19th in the league. The Twins hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eduardo Escobar comes into this matchup batting .305 with an OBP of .355. He has 78 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 256 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .586 with an OPS+ of 155. Eddie Rosario is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .354. He has collected 87 hits in 275 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He has an OPS+ of 151 and a slugging percentage of .571. The Twins as a unit have 562 base hits, including 155 doubles and 71 homers. Minnesota has walked 242 times this year and they have struck out on 590 occasions. They have had 460 men left on base and have an OPS of .715. They have scored 4.29 runs per game and totaled 296 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -120

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