Boston Red Sox at Washington Nationals 7/4/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Erick Fedde

The Boston Red Sox visit Nationals Park on Wednesday, July 4, 2018 to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox and Erick Fedde for the Nationals.

The opening line for this matchup has Boston at -131 and Washington at +121. The Red Sox have a 40-43-3 over/under record and a 48-38-0 run line mark. The Nationals are 41-42-0 against the run line and have a 33-48-2 over/under record.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 40-43-3 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 48-38-0 against the run line

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 33-48-2 against the over/under

The Washington Nationals are 41-42-0 against the run line

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

06/27/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (06/23)
06/05/18 P Drew Pomeranz Biceps 10-day DL (06/02)
06/02/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (05/30)
05/25/18 DH Hanley Ramirez None has been released
05/15/18 P Carson Smith Shoulder 60-day DL (05/15)
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

06/20/18 1B Matt Adams Finger 10-day DL (06/16)
06/12/18 SS Adrian Sanchez Undisclosed 10-day DL (06/12)
06/09/18 P Stephen Strasburg Shoulder 10-day DL (06/09)
05/21/18 LF Howie Kendrick Ankle 60-day DL (05/20); is out for season
05/12/18 1B Ryan Zimmerman Back 60-day DL (05/12)
05/11/18 C Matt Wieters Hamstring 10-day DL (05/11)
04/21/18 P Matt Grace Groin 10-day DL (04/21)
04/19/18 C Jhonatan Solano Elbow 60-day DL (4/19)
03/30/18 P Joaquin Benoit Forearm 60-day DL (03/28)
03/30/18 P Koda Glover Shoulder 60-day DL (03/28)
03/26/18 P Joe Ross Elbow 60-day DL (02/21)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 57-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 9-3 record with an earned run average of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 94 strikeouts over his 87.2 innings pitched and he's given up 86 hits. He's allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have given up 228 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen and they've struck out 294 hitters and walked 110 batters. As a team, Boston allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 674 base hits and 309 earned runs. They have allowed 88 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 265 batters and struck out 822. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .265, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .324 with an on-base percentage of .391. He has 100 hits this season in 309 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .634 and an OPS+ of 169. Andrew Benintendi is hitting .280 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 89 hits and he has driven in 53 men in 318 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .497. The Red Sox have 793 hits, including 181 doubles and 121 home runs. Boston has walked 273 times so far this season and they have struck out 671 times as a unit. They have left 593 men on base and have a team OPS of .786. They score 5.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 443 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 42-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.00, Erick Fedde has a 1-3 record and a 1.63 WHIP. He has 19 strikeouts over the 27 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 35 hits. He's allowing 11.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.11. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 220 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 261 batters and walked 85 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.67. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 635 base knocks and 304 earned runs this season. They have given up 97 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 241 hitters and struck out 775 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.84.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 21st in the league. The Nationals hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Trea Turner comes into this matchup batting .270 with an OBP of .352. He has 90 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 333 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 102. Bryce Harper is hitting .217 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 62 hits in 286 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .483. The Nationals as a unit have 669 base hits, including 137 doubles and 96 homers. Washington has walked 305 times this year and they have struck out on 687 occasions. They have had 572 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 351 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Sox -131

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