Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins 4/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sal Romano vs. Jake Odorizzi

The Cincinnati Reds visit Target Field on Saturday, April 28, 2018 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Sal Romano for the Reds and Jake Odorizzi for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Cincinnati at +132 and Minnesota at -142. The Reds have a 11-14-0 over/under record and a 11-14-0 run line mark. The Twins are 12-8-0 against the run line and have a 10-10-0 over/under record.

Valuable Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 11-14-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 11-14-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 10-10-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 12-8-0 against the run line

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P David Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

04/18/18 CF Byron Buxton Migraine 10-day DL (04/15)
03/29/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 10-day DL (03/29)
03/28/18 SS Jorge Polanco Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 06/30 vs Chicago Cubs)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Reds have a 5-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sal Romano has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 16 strikeouts over his 26.1 innings pitched and he's given up 25 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.40 and they have given up 89 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 81 hitters and walked 47 batters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.42. The Reds pitchers collectively have given up 225 base hits and 133 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Cincinnati as a pitching staff has walked 100 batters and struck out 187. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 5.18.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Cincinnati is hitting .229, good for 25th in the league. The Reds hold a .332 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Joey Votto is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .358. He has 23 hits this season in 90 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .367 and an OPS+ of 102. Scooter Gennett is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 13 men in 99 at bats. His OPS+ is 102 while his slugging percentage is at .404. The Reds have 193 hits, including 33 doubles and 17 home runs. Cincinnati has walked 89 times so far this season and they have struck out 217 times as a unit. They have left 184 men on base and have a team OPS of .642. They score 3.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 88 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 8-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Jake Odorizzi has a 1-2 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 24 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 23 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.95. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.76 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 81 batters and walked 34 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.9. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 174 base knocks and 99 earned runs this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 85 hitters and struck out 195 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.63.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .231, good for 20th in the league. The Twins hold a .384 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .440. He has 20 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 67 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .388 with an OPS+ of 135. Brian Dozier is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 23 hits in 87 at bats while driving in 10 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .448. The Twins as a unit have 163 base hits, including 40 doubles and 22 homers. Minnesota has walked 76 times this year and they have struck out on 196 occasions. They have had 154 men left on base and have an OPS of .691. They have scored 3.95 runs per game and totaled 79 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Reds/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +132

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