Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins 7/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Burch Smith vs. Lance Lynn

The Kansas City Royals visit Target Field on Wednesday, July 11, 2018 to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Burch Smith for the Royals and Lance Lynn for the Twins.

The opening line for this matchup has Kansas City at +198 and Minnesota at -214. The Royals have a 36-50-4 over/under record and a 35-55-0 run line mark. The Twins are 49-39-0 against the run line and have a 41-44-3 over/under record.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Kansas City Royals are 36-50-4 against the over/under

The Kansas City Royals are 35-55-0 against the run line

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 41-44-3 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 49-39-0 against the run line

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

07/09/18 P Ian Kennedy Oblique 10-day DL (06/30); expected to be activated and start Tuesday vs Minnesota Twins
07/08/18 P Jakob Junis Back 10-day DL (07/08)
07/06/18 P Blaine Boyer Back 60-day DL (05/29)
06/27/18 P Justin Grimm Shoulder 10-day DL (06/24)
06/17/18 LF Jorge Soler Foot 10-day DL (06/16)
05/27/18 P Eric Skoglund Arm 60-day DL (05/26)
05/21/18 3B Cheslor Cuthbert Back 10-day DL (05/16)
03/30/18 P Nathan Karns Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 CF Bubba Starling Oblique 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jesse Hahn Elbow 60-day DL (03/06)

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

07/03/18 SS Ehire Adrianza Hamstring 10-day DL (07/03)
06/29/18 SS Taylor Motter Concussion 7-day DL (06/29)
06/10/18 C Jason Castro Knee is out for season
05/31/18 CF Byron Buxton Toe 10-day DL (05/30)
05/06/18 P Ervin Santana Finger 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Michael Pineda Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Trevor May Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 25-65 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Burch Smith has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.54 this season. He has 39 strikeouts over his 38.1 innings pitched and he's given up 38 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.35 and they have given up 316 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the bullpen and they've struck out 226 hitters and walked 139 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.1 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.33. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 872 base hits and 474 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 319 batters and struck out 630. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.49 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .238, good for 23rd in the league. The Royals hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .303 with an on-base percentage of .369. He has 102 hits this season in 337 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .427 and an OPS+ of 120. Mike Moustakas is hitting .251 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 56 men in 334 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .464. The Royals have 728 hits, including 152 doubles and 70 home runs. Kansas City has walked 227 times so far this season and they have struck out 694 times as a unit. They have left 599 men on base and have a team OPS of .661. They score 3.46 runs per contest and have scored a total of 311 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 40-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.21, Lance Lynn has a 6-7 record and a 1.66 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 86.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 91 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 329 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 322 batters and walked 99 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 773 base knocks and 379 earned runs this season. They have given up 109 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 298 hitters and struck out 789 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.22.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 22nd in the league. The Twins hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Eduardo Escobar comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .331. He has 89 hits this year along with 53 RBI in 323 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .526 with an OPS+ of 132. Eddie Rosario is hitting .300 this season and he has an OBP of .340. He has collected 105 hits in 350 at bats while driving in 54 runs. He has an OPS+ of 136 and a slugging percentage of .531. The Twins as a unit have 720 base hits, including 186 doubles and 91 homers. Minnesota has walked 296 times this year and they have struck out on 735 occasions. They have had 584 men left on base and have an OPS of .709. They have scored 4.31 runs per game and totaled 379 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +198

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