Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds 5/5/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, May 5, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Tyler Mahle

The Miami Marlins head to Great American Ball Park on Saturday, May 5, 2018 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Tyler Mahle for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +125 and Cincinnati at -135. The Marlins have a 14-16-0 over/under mark and a 14-16-0 run line record. The Reds are 15-16-0 against the run line and have a 15-16-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 14-16-0 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 14-16-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-16-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-16-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/30/18 P Tyler Cloyd Paternity List is out indefinitely (04/30)
04/22/18 P Odrisamer Despaigne Forearm 10-day DL (04/20)
04/21/18 2B Mason Davis Forearm 7-day DL (04/21)
04/20/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 10-day DL (04/17)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Elieser Hernandez Dental 10-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

05/03/18 P Amir Garrett Personal is out indefinitely
05/02/18 2B Scooter Gennett Shoulder is "?" Friday vs Miami Marlins
03/30/18 P Michael Lorenzen Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)
03/26/18 P Anthony DeSclafani Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 11-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.26 this year. He has 41 strikeouts over his 28.2 innings pitched and he's given up 20 hits. He allows 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 120 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 138 hitters and walked 58 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.63. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 254 base hits and 142 earned runs. They have allowed 36 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 129 batters and struck out 276. They have walked 4.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .225, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .327 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Derek Dietrich is hitting .231 with an on-base percentage of .273. He has 28 hits this season in 121 at bats with 9 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .347 and an OPS+ of 77. Starlin Castro is hitting .310 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 35 hits and he has driven in 10 men in 113 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .363. The Marlins have 232 hits, including 35 doubles and 21 home runs. Miami has walked 91 times so far this season and they have struck out 274 times as a unit. They have left 212 men on base and have a team OPS of .623. They score 3.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 98 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 7-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.32, Tyler Mahle has a 2-3 record and a 1.32 WHIP this season. He has 38 strikeouts over the 33.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He allows 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 113 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 109 batters and walked 56 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.29. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 285 base knocks and 161 earned runs this season. They have given up 49 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 120 hitters and struck out 233 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 5.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .242, good for 17th in the league. The Reds hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Jose Peraza comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .317. He has 35 hits this year along with 10 RBI in 119 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .395 with an OPS+ of 96. Joey Votto is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 28 hits in 108 at bats while driving in 15 runs. He has an OPS+ of 118 and a slugging percentage of .389. The Reds as a unit have 255 base hits, including 48 doubles and 24 homers. Cincinnati has walked 120 times this year and they have struck out on 257 occasions. They have had 238 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 124 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds -135

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