Miami Marlins at New York Mets 9/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 28, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Urena vs. Corey Oswalt

The Miami Marlins head to Citi Field on Friday, September 28, 2018 to take on the New York Mets. The expected starting pitchers are Jose Urena for the Marlins and Corey Oswalt for the Mets.

The odds for this matchup have Miami at +120 and New York at -140. The Marlins have a 79-73-6 over/under mark and a 79-79-0 run line record. The Mets are 82-76-0 against the run line and have a 71-79-8 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 79-73-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 79-79-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 71-79-8 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 82-76-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/16/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is questionable for next scheduled start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/17/18 P Bobby Wahl Hamstring 60-day DL (08/17)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 62-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Urena has a 8-12 record with an earned run average of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.17 this year. He has 128 strikeouts over his 168 innings pitched and he's given up 150 hits. He allows 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.16. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.42 and they have given up 620 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 528 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,368 base hits and 759 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 591 batters and struck out 1,220. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .329. He has 162 hits this season in 582 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .400 and an OPS+ of 108. Brian Anderson is hitting .273 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 159 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 582 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .400. The Marlins have 1,280 hits, including 216 doubles and 128 home runs. Miami has walked 447 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,355 times as a unit. They have left 1,101 men on base and have a team OPS of .662. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 581 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 74-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.08, Corey Oswalt has a 3-3 record and a 1.35 WHIP this season. He has 41 strikeouts over the 60.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 65 hits. He allows 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 534 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 218 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,335 base knocks and 656 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 475 hitters and struck out 1,409 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.02.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 28th in the league. The Mets hold a .391 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .298. He has 140 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 540 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .387 with an OPS+ of 91. Michael Conforto is hitting .246 this season and he has an OBP of .353. He has collected 130 hits in 528 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 126 and a slugging percentage of .456. The Mets as a unit have 1,257 base hits, including 261 doubles and 168 homers. New York has walked 548 times this year and they have struck out on 1,365 occasions. They have had 1,073 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 669 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +120

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