Miami Marlins at New York Mets 9/29/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Richards vs. Steven Matz

The Miami Marlins visit Citi Field on Saturday, September 29, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Trevor Richards for the Marlins and Steven Matz for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +155 and New York at -180. The Marlins have a 79-73-6 over/under record and a 79-79-0 run line mark. The Mets are 83-76-0 against the run line and have a 71-80-8 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 79-73-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 79-79-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 71-80-8 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 83-76-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/16/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is questionable for next scheduled start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/17/18 P Bobby Wahl Hamstring 60-day DL (08/17)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 62-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Richards has a 4-9 record with an earned run average of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 122 strikeouts over his 119.2 innings pitched and he's given up 115 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.42 and they have given up 620 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the bullpen and they've struck out 528 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.84. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,368 base hits and 759 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 591 batters and struck out 1,220. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 159 hits this season in 582 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .400 and an OPS+ of 116. Starlin Castro is hitting .278 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .329. He has totaled 162 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 582 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .400. The Marlins have 1,280 hits, including 216 doubles and 128 home runs. Miami has walked 447 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,355 times as a unit. They have left 1,101 men on base and have a team OPS of .662. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 581 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 75-84 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.14, Steven Matz has a 5-11 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 144 strikeouts over the 148 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 131 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.77. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 537 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 503 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,341 base knocks and 657 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 476 hitters and struck out 1,417 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 28th in the league. The Mets hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Michael Conforto comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .354. He has 130 hits this year along with 82 RBI in 530 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 126. Amed Rosario is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .296. He has collected 140 hits in 544 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 90 and a slugging percentage of .384. The Mets as a unit have 1,262 base hits, including 262 doubles and 170 homers. New York has walked 552 times this year and they have struck out on 1,375 occasions. They have had 1,078 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 673 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +155

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