Miami Marlins at New York Mets 9/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Noah Syndergaard

The Miami Marlins visit Citi Field on Sunday, September 30, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Sandy Alcantara for the Marlins and Noah Syndergaard for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +190 and New York at -230. The Marlins have a 80-73-6 over/under record and a 80-79-0 run line mark. The Mets are 83-77-0 against the run line and have a 72-80-8 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 80-73-6 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 80-79-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 72-80-8 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 83-77-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

09/16/18 P Dan Straily Oblique is questionable for next scheduled start
09/05/18 3B Martin Prado Abdominal 60-day DL (09/05)
09/01/18 P Pablo Lopez Shoulder is out for season
07/24/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (07/21)
07/10/18 P Caleb Smith Back 60-day DL (06/25)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/17/18 P Bobby Wahl Hamstring 60-day DL (08/17)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 63-96 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.56 this season. He has 20 strikeouts over his 27 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.39 and they have given up 620 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 530 hitters and walked 274 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,373 base hits and 760 earned runs. They have allowed 192 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 596 batters and struck out 1,224. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .329. He has 163 hits this season in 587 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .399 and an OPS+ of 107. Brian Anderson is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 161 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 585 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .403. The Marlins have 1,293 hits, including 220 doubles and 128 home runs. Miami has walked 452 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,365 times as a unit. They have left 1,113 men on base and have a team OPS of .663. They score 3.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 589 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 75-85 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.22, Noah Syndergaard has a 12-4 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 149 strikeouts over the 145.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 143 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.02 and they have given up 546 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 509 batters and walked 221 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,354 base knocks and 661 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 481 hitters and struck out 1,427 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .235, good for 27th in the league. The Mets hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .296. He has 141 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 548 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .383 with an OPS+ of 90. Michael Conforto is hitting .243 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 130 hits in 534 at bats while driving in 82 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .451. The Mets as a unit have 1,267 base hits, including 262 doubles and 170 homers. New York has walked 557 times this year and they have struck out on 1,379 occasions. They have had 1,086 men left on base and have an OPS of .703. They have scored 4.21 runs per game and totaled 674 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -230

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