Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals 7/5/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, July 5, 2018

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez vs. Jeremy Hellickson

The Miami Marlins visit Nationals Park on Thursday, July 5, 2018 to play the Washington Nationals. The probable starters are Elieser Hernandez for the Marlins and Jeremy Hellickson for the Nationals.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +170 and Washington at -180. The Marlins have a 44-41-2 over/under record and a 45-42-0 run line mark. The Nationals are 41-43-0 against the run line and have a 34-48-2 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 44-41-2 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 45-42-0 against the run line

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Washington Nationals are 34-48-2 against the over/under

The Washington Nationals are 41-43-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

07/04/18 P Sandy Alcantara Infection 10-day DL (07/03)
06/25/18 P Caleb Smith Back 10-day DL (06/25)
06/22/18 P Jose Urena Shoulder 10-day DL (06/21)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
05/26/18 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (05/26)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

06/20/18 1B Matt Adams Finger 10-day DL (06/16)
06/12/18 SS Adrian Sanchez Undisclosed 10-day DL (06/12)
06/09/18 P Stephen Strasburg Shoulder 10-day DL (06/09)
05/21/18 LF Howie Kendrick Ankle 60-day DL (05/20); is out for season
05/12/18 1B Ryan Zimmerman Back 60-day DL (05/12)
05/11/18 C Matt Wieters Hamstring 10-day DL (05/11)
04/21/18 P Matt Grace Groin 10-day DL (04/21)
04/19/18 C Jhonatan Solano Elbow 60-day DL (4/19)
03/30/18 P Joaquin Benoit Forearm 60-day DL (03/28)
03/30/18 P Koda Glover Shoulder 60-day DL (03/28)
03/26/18 P Joe Ross Elbow 60-day DL (02/21)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 35-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez has a 0-5 record with an earned run average of 4.78 and a WHIP of 1.49 this season. He has 23 strikeouts over his 37.2 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 333 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 320 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.68. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 753 base hits and 409 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 697. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .240, good for 21st in the league. The Marlins hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .359. He has 95 hits this season in 335 at bats with 41 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .403 and an OPS+ of 115. Starlin Castro is hitting .288 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 98 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 340 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .394. The Marlins have 722 hits, including 129 doubles and 68 home runs. Miami has walked 255 times so far this season and they have struck out 769 times as a unit. They have left 625 men on base and have a team OPS of .667. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 320 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 42-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.63, Jeremy Hellickson has a 2-1 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 48 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 41 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.81 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .225 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 262 batters and walked 88 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 647 base knocks and 315 earned runs this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 780 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.18 while their FIP as a staff is 3.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 19th in the league. The Nationals hold a .400 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Trea Turner comes into this matchup batting .272 with an OBP of .353. He has 92 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 338 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .405 with an OPS+ of 103. Bryce Harper is hitting .218 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 63 hits in 289 at bats while driving in 50 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .484. The Nationals as a unit have 681 base hits, including 138 doubles and 98 homers. Washington has walked 307 times this year and they have struck out on 694 occasions. They have had 581 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 355 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals -180

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