Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds 6/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Junior Guerra vs. Anthony DeSclafani

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday, June 28, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Junior Guerra for the Brewers and Anthony DeSclafani for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -113 and Cincinnati at +103. The Brewers have a 30-46-2 over/under record and a 45-33-0 run line mark. The Reds are 45-34-0 against the run line and have a 37-38-4 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-46-2 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-33-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 37-38-4 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 45-34-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

06/27/18 3B Travis Shaw Wrist is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs Kansas City Royals
06/26/18 CF Lorenzo Cain Groin 10-day DL (06/24)
06/13/18 P Matt Albers Shoulder 10-day DL (06/12)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
06/01/18 P Zach Davies Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/01)
05/30/18 3B Tyler Saladino Ankle 10-day DL (05/30)
05/09/18 SS Nick Franklin Quad 10-day DL (05/09)
05/09/18 P Wade Miley Oblique 60-day DL (05/09)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

06/27/18 C Tucker Barnhart Rest is not in the starting lineup Wednesday vs Atlanta Braves
06/02/18 P Homer Bailey Knee 10-day DL (05/30)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 46-32 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Junior Guerra has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.17 this season. He has 74 strikeouts over his 76.2 innings pitched and he's given up 60 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.74 and they have given up 218 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 335 hitters and walked 119 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 567 base hits and 266 earned runs. They have allowed 81 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 278 batters and struck out 687. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .246, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .361. He has 62 hits this season in 205 at bats with 51 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .615 and an OPS+ of 155. Christian Yelich is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 34 men in 258 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Brewers have 643 hits, including 126 doubles and 98 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 248 times so far this season and they have struck out 701 times as a unit. They have left 516 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 339 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 33-46 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.09, Anthony DeSclafani has a 3-1 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 22 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 282 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 267 batters and walked 130 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 720 base knocks and 373 earned runs this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 294 hitters and struck out 599 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 6th in the league. The Reds hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .335, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .302 with an OBP of .435. He has 84 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 278 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .460 with an OPS+ of 144. Scooter Gennett is hitting .334 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 96 hits in 287 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 143 and a slugging percentage of .533. The Reds as a unit have 695 base hits, including 125 doubles and 82 homers. Cincinnati has walked 304 times this year and they have struck out on 649 occasions. They have had 609 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.49 runs per game and totaled 355 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Reds +103

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald