Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds 7/1/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, July 1, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs. Matt Harvey

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Great American Ball Park on Sunday, July 1, 2018 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Freddy Peralta for the Brewers and Matt Harvey for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at -126 and Cincinnati at +116. The Brewers have a 32-46-3 over/under record and a 47-34-0 run line mark. The Reds are 46-36-0 against the run line and have a 39-38-5 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 32-46-3 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 47-34-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 39-38-5 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 46-36-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

06/30/18 LF Christian Yelich Back is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs Cincinnati Reds
06/29/18 LF Ryan Braun Back left last game, is "?" Saturday vs Cincinnati Reds
06/26/18 CF Lorenzo Cain Groin 10-day DL (06/24)
06/13/18 P Matt Albers Shoulder 10-day DL (06/12)
06/01/18 C Stephen Vogt Shoulder is out for season
06/01/18 P Zach Davies Rotator Cuff 10-day DL (06/01)
05/30/18 3B Tyler Saladino Ankle 10-day DL (05/30)
05/09/18 SS Nick Franklin Quad 10-day DL (05/09)
05/09/18 P Wade Miley Oblique 60-day DL (05/09)
03/26/18 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

06/02/18 P Homer Bailey Knee 10-day DL (05/30)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 48-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Freddy Peralta has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.71 this season. He has 35 strikeouts over his 22.2 innings pitched and he's given up 7 hits. He's allowed 2.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 1.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.72 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the bullpen and they've struck out 343 hitters and walked 122 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 7.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 590 base hits and 277 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 284 batters and struck out 712. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 3.94.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Jesus Aguilar is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .374. He has 68 hits this season in 216 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .639 and an OPS+ of 165. Travis Shaw is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .342. He has totaled 63 hits and he has driven in 47 men in 262 at bats. His OPS+ is 116 while his slugging percentage is at .473. The Brewers have 672 hits, including 129 doubles and 104 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 258 times so far this season and they have struck out 723 times as a unit. They have left 536 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 357 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 34-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.28, Matt Harvey has a 3-5 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 54 strikeouts over the 75 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 78 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.94. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 275 batters and walked 134 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 747 base knocks and 387 earned runs this season. They have given up 114 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 302 hitters and struck out 622 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 6th in the league. The Reds hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .429. He has 85 hits this year along with 42 RBI in 286 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .451 with an OPS+ of 140. Scooter Gennett is hitting .327 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 98 hits in 300 at bats while driving in 53 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .520. The Reds as a unit have 721 base hits, including 129 doubles and 86 homers. Cincinnati has walked 312 times this year and they have struck out on 676 occasions. They have had 628 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.48 runs per game and totaled 367 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Reds +116

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