New York Mets at Atlanta Braves 5/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, May 28, 2018

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Seth Lugo vs. Brandon McCarthy

The New York Mets visit SunTrust Park on Monday, May 28, 2018 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Seth Lugo for the Mets and Brandon McCarthy for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has New York at -140 and Atlanta at +130. The Mets have a 21-26-1 over/under record and a 23-25-0 run line mark. The Braves are 28-22-0 against the run line and have a 23-24-3 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 21-26-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 23-25-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 23-24-3 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 28-22-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

05/18/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe 10-day DL (05/17); is out for season
05/17/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Hip 10-day DL (05/14)
05/09/18 3B Todd Frazier Hamstring 10-day DL (05/08)
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 60-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

05/18/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 10-day DL (05/14)
04/18/18 P Anibal Sanchez Leg 10-day DL (04/18)
04/18/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 10-day DL (04/18)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 25-23 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Seth Lugo has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 1.72 and a WHIP of 0.93 this season. He has 32 strikeouts over his 31.1 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 160 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 181 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 414 base hits and 198 earned runs. They have allowed 57 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 155 batters and struck out 459. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 3.90.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .239, good for 19th in the league. The Mets hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Jay Bruce is hitting .228 with an on-base percentage of .303. He has 36 hits this season in 158 at bats with 14 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .354 and an OPS+ of 83. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .314 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 58 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 185 at bats. His OPS+ is 140 while his slugging percentage is at .519. The Mets have 387 hits, including 74 doubles and 49 home runs. New York has walked 171 times so far this season and they have struck out 411 times as a unit. They have left 333 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 4.08 runs per contest and have scored a total of 196 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 29-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.67, Brandon McCarthy has a 5-2 record and a 1.58 WHIP. He has 43 strikeouts over the 52 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 63 hits. He's allowing 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.67 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .218 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 180 batters and walked 96 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.59. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 396 base knocks and 180 earned runs this season. They have given up 45 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 212 hitters and struck out 444 batters. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .264, good for 2nd in the league. The Braves hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.3 hits per contest. Nick Markakis comes into this matchup batting .347 with an OBP of .413. He has 69 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 199 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 157. Freddie Freeman is hitting .326 this season and he has an OBP of .425. He has collected 62 hits in 190 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 166 and a slugging percentage of .542. The Braves as a unit have 463 base hits, including 94 doubles and 59 homers. Atlanta has walked 179 times this year and they have struck out on 393 occasions. They have had 362 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 5.08 runs per game and totaled 254 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets -140

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