New York Mets at Miami Marlins 7/1/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, July 1, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Dan Straily

The New York Mets head to Marlins Park on Sunday, July 1, 2018 to take on the Miami Marlins. The expected starting pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Dan Straily for the Marlins.

The odds for this matchup have New York at -118 and Miami at +108. The Mets have a 36-41-2 over/under mark and a 33-46-0 run line record. The Marlins are 43-40-0 against the run line and have a 43-39-1 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 36-41-2 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 33-46-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 43-39-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 43-40-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

06/24/18 P Jason Vargas Calf 10-day DL (06/20)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
05/29/18 P Noah Syndergaard Finger 10-day DL (05/26)
05/17/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Hip 10-day DL (05/14)
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

06/27/18 P Dan Straily Suspension 5-game suspension (eligible to return 7/2 vs Tampa Bay)
06/25/18 P Caleb Smith Back 10-day DL (06/25)
06/22/18 P Jose Urena Shoulder 10-day DL (06/21)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
05/26/18 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (05/26)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 32-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.24 this year. He has 70 strikeouts over his 78 innings pitched and he's given up 67 hits. He allows 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 283 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 278 hitters and walked 127 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 698 base hits and 345 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season, ranking them 6th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 718. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .232, good for 28th in the league. The Mets hold a .383 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .325. He has 86 hits this season in 304 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .477 and an OPS+ of 121. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .395. He has totaled 57 hits and he has driven in 25 men in 207 at bats. His OPS+ is 161 while his slugging percentage is at .551. The Mets have 618 hits, including 127 doubles and 82 home runs. New York has walked 283 times so far this season and they have struck out 682 times as a unit. They have left 543 men on base and have a team OPS of .693. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 312 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 33-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.82, Dan Straily has a 3-3 record and a 1.40 WHIP this season. He has 45 strikeouts over the 52.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 48 hits. He allows 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.80 and they have given up 319 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 300 batters and walked 154 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 716 base knocks and 394 earned runs this season. They have given up 99 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 318 hitters and struck out 655 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .324. He has 89 hits this year along with 31 RBI in 322 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .388 with an OPS+ of 100. Brian Anderson is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 93 hits in 318 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 120 and a slugging percentage of .409. The Marlins as a unit have 682 base hits, including 124 doubles and 65 homers. Miami has walked 243 times this year and they have struck out on 729 occasions. They have had 589 men left on base and have an OPS of .669. They have scored 3.66 runs per game and totaled 304 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +108

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