New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies 8/16/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, August 16, 2018

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Matz vs. Aaron Nola

Citizens Bank Park is the site of the matchup between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday, August 16, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Steven Matz for the Mets and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.

New York opens at +175 while Philadelphia opens at -210. The Mets have a 52-60-5 over/under record and a 55-62-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 60-58-0 against the run line and have a 49-63-6 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 52-60-5 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 55-62-0 against the run line

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 49-63-6 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-58-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/05/18 P Anthony Swarzak Shoulder 10-day DL (08/04)
08/03/18 P Steven Matz Forearm 10-day DL (08/01)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21); is out for season
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/19/18 RF Jay Bruce Hip 10-day DL (06/18)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

07/23/18 P Edubray Ramos Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/19/18 C Wilson Ramos Hamstring 10-day DL (07/15)
07/10/18 CF Pedro Florimon Foot 60-day DL (07/10)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 60-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 50-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Matz has a 5-9 record with an earned run average of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.34 this year. He has 99 strikeouts over his 107.2 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.74. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 407 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen and they've struck out 371 hitters and walked 180 batters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 1,024 base hits and 507 earned runs. They have allowed 144 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 368 batters and struck out 1,018. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .230, good for 30th in the league. The Mets hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.7 hits per game. Amed Rosario is hitting .236 with an on-base percentage of .280. He has 89 hits this season in 377 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .355 and an OPS+ of 77. Brandon Nimmo is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 85 hits and he has driven in 36 men in 337 at bats. His OPS+ is 140 while his slugging percentage is at .484. The Mets have 900 hits, including 185 doubles and 121 home runs. New York has walked 413 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,007 times as a unit. They have left 792 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 463 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 65-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.28, Aaron Nola has a 13-3 record and a 1.00 WHIP this season. He has 149 strikeouts over the 154 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 111 hits. He allows 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 367 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 411 batters and walked 152 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 961 base knocks and 440 earned runs this season. They have given up 118 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 349 hitters and struck out 1,060 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 3.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 29th in the league. The Phillies hold a .390 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Odubel Herrera comes into this matchup batting .270 with an OBP of .324. He has 119 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 441 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .449 with an OPS+ of 105. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 115 hits in 441 at bats while driving in 38 runs. He has an OPS+ of 100 and a slugging percentage of .370. The Phillies as a unit have 927 base hits, including 172 doubles and 137 homers. Philadelphia has walked 445 times this year and they have struck out on 1,132 occasions. They have had 821 men left on base and have an OPS of .706. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 507 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +175

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