New York Mets at San Diego Padres 4/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jason Vargas vs. Joey Lucchesi

Petco Park is the site of the matchup between the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres on Saturday, April 28, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Jason Vargas for the Mets and Joey Lucchesi for the Padres.

New York opens at +108 while San Diego opens at -118. The Mets have a 12-10-1 over/under record and a 13-10-0 run line mark. The Padres are 10-16-0 against the run line and have a 11-13-2 over/under record.

Valuable New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 12-10-1 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 13-10-0 against the run line

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The San Diego Padres are 11-13-2 against the over/under

The San Diego Padres are 10-16-0 against the run line

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
04/13/18 C Kevin Plawecki Hand 10-day DL (04/13)
04/03/18 P Anthony Swarzak Oblique 10-day DL (04/01)
03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jason Vargas Hand 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

04/25/18 1B Eric Hosmer Personal is "?" Friday vs New York Mets
04/22/18 RF Hunter Renfroe Elbow 10-day DL (04/18)
04/15/18 P Dinelson Lamet Forearm 60-day DL (03/26)
04/11/18 P Kirby Yates Ankle 10-day DL (04/08)
04/04/18 2B Allen Cordoba Concussion 60-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Colin Rea Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Matt Strahm Knee 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 RF Alex Dickerson Elbow 60-day DL (03/28)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mets have a 15-8 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jason Vargas is expected to make his debut for New York. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .207 against the bullpen and they've struck out 98 hitters and walked 42 batters. As a team, New York allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mets pitchers collectively have given up 181 base hits and 87 earned runs. They have allowed 25 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. New York as a pitching staff has walked 75 batters and struck out 239. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.65.

Hitting Statistics

As a team New York is hitting .231, good for 22nd in the league. The Mets hold a .372 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Asdrubal Cabrera is hitting .326 with an on-base percentage of .367. He has 29 hits this season in 89 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .551 and an OPS+ of 154. Todd Frazier is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .410. He has totaled 20 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 77 at bats. His OPS+ is 139 while his slugging percentage is at .442. The Mets have 179 hits, including 36 doubles and 21 home runs. New York has walked 98 times so far this season and they have struck out 211 times as a unit. They have left 160 men on base and have a team OPS of .696. They score 4.61 runs per contest and have scored a total of 106 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 9-17 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.70, Joey Lucchesi has a 2-1 record and a 1.13 WHIP this season. He has 29 strikeouts over the 26.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He allows 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.62 and they have given up 75 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .194 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 121 batters and walked 37 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 220 base knocks and 108 earned runs this season. They have given up 21 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 102 hitters and struck out 236 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 3.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .221, good for 29th in the league. The Padres hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .292, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.5 hits per contest. Christian Villanueva comes into this matchup batting .355 with an OBP of .444. He has 22 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 62 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .774 with an OPS+ of 239. Freddy Galvis is hitting .228 this season and he has an OBP of .324. He has collected 21 hits in 92 at bats while driving in 7 runs. He has an OPS+ of 77 and a slugging percentage of .293. The Padres as a unit have 195 base hits, including 41 doubles and 25 homers. San Diego has walked 77 times this year and they have struck out on 273 occasions. They have had 166 men left on base and have an OPS of .654. They have scored 3.81 runs per game and totaled 99 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mets/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets +108

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