Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves 9/20/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Thursday, September 20, 2018

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Vince Velasquez vs. Kevin Gausman

SunTrust Park is the site of the matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, September 20, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Vince Velasquez for the Phillies and Kevin Gausman for the Braves.

Philadelphia opens at +130 while Atlanta opens at -150. The Phillies have a 68-75-7 over/under record and a 71-79-0 run line mark. The Braves are 76-75-0 against the run line and have a 73-73-5 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 68-75-7 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 71-79-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 73-73-5 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 76-75-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/18/18 2B Asdrubal Cabrera Calf is questionable Wednesday vs New York Mets
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

09/15/18 P Luiz Gohara Shoulder 60-day DL (09/14)
08/08/18 P Max Fried Groin 10-day DL (08/08)
07/31/18 P Peter Moylan Ribs 60-day DL (07/31)
06/28/18 P Brandon McCarthy Knee 10-day DL (06/28)
06/27/18 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 60-day DL (06/27)
06/22/18 P Jose Ramirez Shoulder 60-day DL (04/18)
06/22/18 P Michael Soroka Shoulder 60-day DL (06/20)
03/30/18 P Chase Whitley Heel 10-day DL (03/26)
03/30/18 P Jacob Lindgren Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Grant Dayton Elbow 60-day DL (02/14)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 77-73 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Vince Velasquez has a 9-11 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.29 this year. He has 156 strikeouts over his 140 innings pitched and he's given up 125 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 486 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the bullpen and they've struck out 533 hitters and walked 195 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 3.99. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,254 base hits and 596 earned runs. They have allowed 159 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 451 batters and struck out 1,361. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Phillies hold a .398 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Odubel Herrera is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 132 hits this season in 518 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .423 and an OPS+ of 94. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .256 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 144 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 563 at bats. His OPS+ is 94 while his slugging percentage is at .362. The Phillies have 1,199 hits, including 227 doubles and 177 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 536 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,402 times as a unit. They have left 1,038 men on base and have a team OPS of .714. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 646 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 83-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.92, Kevin Gausman has a 10-10 record and a 1.30 WHIP this season. He has 135 strikeouts over the 172.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 179 hits. He allows 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 478 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 518 batters and walked 254 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 3.8. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,173 base knocks and 575 earned runs this season. They have given up 144 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 588 hitters and struck out 1,318 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 3.99.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .259, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .386. He has 179 hits this year along with 89 RBI in 583 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .501 with an OPS+ of 138. Nick Markakis is hitting .306 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 180 hits in 589 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .457. The Braves as a unit have 1,354 base hits, including 296 doubles and 169 homers. Atlanta has walked 473 times this year and they have struck out on 1,184 occasions. They have had 1,074 men left on base and have an OPS of .749. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 712 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves -150

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