Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets 4/2/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Monday, April 2, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Ben Lively vs. Matt Harvey

The Philadelphia Phillies head to Citi Field on Monday, April 2, 2018 to take on the New York Mets. The expected starting pitchers are Ben Lively for the Phillies and Matt Harvey for the Mets.

The odds for this matchup have Philadelphia at +136 and New York at -146. The Phillies had a 71-77-14 over/under mark and a 90-72-0 run line record last year. The Mets were 73-89-0 against the run line and had a 90-60-12 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies were 71-77-14 against the over/under last year

The Philadelphia Phillies were 90-72-0 against the run line last season

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets were 90-60-12 against the over/under last year

The New York Mets were 73-89-0 against the run line last season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

03/30/18 P Pat Neshek Shoulder 10-day DL (03/30)
03/29/18 P Mark Leiter Forearm 10-day DL (03/26)
03/29/18 P Tommy Hunter Hamstring 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jerad Eickhoff Back 10-day DL (03/26)

Key New York Mets Injuries

03/30/18 1B Dominic Smith Quad 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jason Vargas Hand 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 LF Michael Conforto Shoulder 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies had a 66-96 overall record last season. Starting pitcher Ben Lively had a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.29. He had 52 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he gave up 90 hits. He allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he had a FIP of 4.97. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.18 and they gave up 535 base hits on the year. Teams hit .249 against the bullpen and they struck out 549 hitters while walking 221 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They were 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Phillies pitchers collectively gave up 1,471 base hits and 729 earned runs last year. They allowed 221 home runs last season, ranking them 8th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff walked 527 batters and struck out 1,309. They walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.2 per 9. They had a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit was 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia hit .250, good for 20th in the league. The Phillies held a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which was good for 24th in baseball. They ranked 19th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Cesar Hernandez hit .294 with an on-base percentage of .373 last year. He had 150 hits last season in 511 at bats with 34 runs batted in. He had a slugging percentage of .421 and an OPS+ of 112. Carlos Santana hit .259 last year and he had an on-base percentage of .363. He totaled 148 hits and he drove in 79 men in 571 at bats. His OPS+ was 112 while his slugging percentage was at .455. The Phillies had 1,382 hits last season, including 287 doubles and 174 home runs. Philadelphia walked 494 times last year and they struck out 1,417 times as a unit. They left 1,079 men on base and had a team OPS of .723. They scored 4.26 runs per contest and scored a total of 690 runs last year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York had a 70-92 overall mark last year. With an earned run average of 6.70, Matt Harvey had a 5-7 record and a 1.69 WHIP. He had 67 strikeouts over the 92.2 innings he pitched. He also gave up 110 hits. He allowed 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stood at 6.37. The bullpen had an earned run average of 4.82 and they gave up 577 base hits on the year. Teams hit .256 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers struck out 592 batters and walked 269 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They were 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Mets pitchers as a team surrendered 1,538 base knocks and 799 earned runs last season. They gave up 220 home runs last year, which ranked 9th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff walked 593 hitters and struck out 1,374 batters. They gave up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they struck out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP was 1.49 while their FIP as a staff was 4.59.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they batted .250, good for 19th in the league. The Mets held a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which was good for 19th in baseball. They ranked 21st in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Todd Frazier comes into this matchup after batting .213 with an OBP of .344 last season. He had 101 hits last year along with 76 RBI in 474 AB's. He maintained a slugging percentage of .428 with an OPS+ of 105. Yoenis Cespedes hit .292 last season and he had an OBP of .352. He collected 85 hits in 291 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He had an OPS+ of 132 and a slugging percentage of .540. The Mets as a unit had 1,379 base hits last season, including 286 doubles and 224 homers. New York walked 529 times last year and they struck out on 1,291 occasions. They left 1,099 men on base and had an OPS of .755. They scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 735 runs last year.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets -146

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