Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets 9/7/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Friday, September 7, 2018

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Steven Matz

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Citi Field on Friday, September 7, 2018 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Aaron Nola for the Phillies and Steven Matz for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Philadelphia at -173 and New York at +163. The Phillies have a 61-72-6 over/under record and a 69-70-0 run line mark. The Mets are 70-69-0 against the run line and have a 63-70-6 over/under record.

Valuable Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Phillies are 61-72-6 against the over/under

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-70-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 63-70-6 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 70-69-0 against the run line

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

09/06/18 3B Maikel Franco Wrist is probable Friday vs New York Mets
08/16/18 P Aaron Loup Forearm 10-day DL (08/16)
05/08/18 P Adam Morgan Back 10-day DL (05/08)
04/27/18 P Ben Lively Back 10-day DL (04/27)

Key New York Mets Injuries

08/17/18 P Bobby Wahl Hamstring 10-day DL (08/17)
08/05/18 P Anthony Swarzak Shoulder 10-day DL (08/04)
07/24/18 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 60-day DL (07/21)
06/22/18 P AJ Ramos Shoulder 60-day DL (05/27)
06/11/18 1B Adrian Gonzalez None has been released
06/10/18 CF Juan Lagares Toe is out for season
04/28/18 3B David Wright Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)
04/14/18 C Travis d'Arnaud Elbow 60-day DL (04/11)
03/26/18 P Rafael Montero Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 SS T.J. Rivera Elbow 60-day DL (02/18)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Phillies have a 73-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Aaron Nola has a 15-4 record with an earned run average of 2.23 and a WHIP of 0.97 this season. He has 188 strikeouts over his 181.2 innings pitched and he's given up 128 hits. He's allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.76. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.96 and they have given up 448 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 492 hitters and walked 177 batters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Phillies pitchers collectively have given up 1,162 base hits and 539 earned runs. They have allowed 144 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Philadelphia as a pitching staff has walked 416 batters and struck out 1,259. They have walked 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Philadelphia is hitting .237, good for 29th in the league. The Phillies hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Odubel Herrera is hitting .263 with an on-base percentage of .316. He has 130 hits this season in 495 at bats with 65 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .436 and an OPS+ of 98. Cesar Hernandez is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 131 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 519 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .356. The Phillies have 1,107 hits, including 207 doubles and 162 home runs. Philadelphia has walked 498 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,301 times as a unit. They have left 961 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 593 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 63-76 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.20, Steven Matz has a 5-11 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 124 strikeouts over the 128.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 118 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 438 batters and walked 196 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.24. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,202 base knocks and 589 earned runs this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 413 hitters and struck out 1,229 batters. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .237, good for 28th in the league. The Mets hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .259 with an OBP of .299. He has 120 hits this year along with 44 RBI in 463 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .384 with an OPS+ of 91. Michael Conforto is hitting .232 this season and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 105 hits in 453 at bats while driving in 58 runs. He has an OPS+ of 111 and a slugging percentage of .408. The Mets as a unit have 1,115 base hits, including 226 doubles and 143 homers. New York has walked 469 times this year and they have struck out on 1,194 occasions. They have had 941 men left on base and have an OPS of .700. They have scored 4.15 runs per game and totaled 577 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Phillies/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -173

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