Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds 9/30/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Sunday, September 30, 2018

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Steven Brault vs. Sal Romano

The Pittsburgh Pirates head to Great American Ball Park on Sunday, September 30, 2018 to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The expected starting pitchers are Steven Brault for the Pirates and Sal Romano for the Reds.

The odds for this matchup have Pittsburgh at -230 and Cincinnati at +190. The Pirates have a 71-80-8 over/under mark and a 79-80-0 run line record. The Reds are 87-73-0 against the run line and have a 77-77-6 over/under record.

Valuable Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 71-80-8 against the over/under

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 79-80-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 77-77-6 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 87-73-0 against the run line

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

09/22/18 P Joe Musgrove Abdominal is out for season
09/19/18 RF Gregory Polanco Knee 10-day DL (09/15)
06/29/18 P Chad Kuhl Forearm 60-day DL (06/27)
06/29/18 P Nik Turley Arm 60-day DL (06/29)
03/26/18 P A.J. Schugel Shoulder 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

08/30/18 P Robert Stephenson Shoulder 10-day DL (08/27)
07/26/18 LF Jesse Winker Shoulder 60-day DL (07/26)
07/25/18 C Tyler Stephenson Knee 10-day DL (07/23)
07/21/18 2B Alex Blandino Knee 60-day DL (07/21)
03/26/18 P Rookie Davis Hip 60-day DL (03/02)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Pirates have a 81-78 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Steven Brault has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.56 this year. He has 80 strikeouts over his 90.2 innings pitched and he's given up 84 hits. He allows 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have given up 509 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 566 hitters and walked 235 batters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Pirates pitchers collectively have given up 1,368 base hits and 631 earned runs. They have allowed 171 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Pittsburgh as a pitching staff has walked 492 batters and struck out 1,308. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Pittsburgh is hitting .254, good for 10th in the league. The Pirates hold a .407 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Starling Marte is hitting .276 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 152 hits this season in 550 at bats with 71 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .453 and an OPS+ of 112. Corey Dickerson is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 150 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 501 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .475. The Pirates have 1,365 hits, including 284 doubles and 155 home runs. Pittsburgh has walked 469 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,218 times as a unit. They have left 1,059 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.31 runs per contest and have scored a total of 686 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 66-94 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.37, Sal Romano has a 8-11 record and a 1.45 WHIP this season. He has 104 strikeouts over the 140.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 152 hits. He allows 9.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 577 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 526 batters and walked 244 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.66. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,475 base knocks and 736 earned runs this season. They have given up 226 home runs this year, which ranks 2nd in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 527 hitters and struck out 1,247 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.67.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 8th in the league. The Reds hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 8th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Jose Peraza comes into this matchup batting .291 with an OBP of .329. He has 182 hits this year along with 57 RBI in 625 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 99. Scooter Gennett is hitting .310 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 181 hits in 584 at bats while driving in 92 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .490. The Reds as a unit have 1,392 base hits, including 249 doubles and 169 homers. Cincinnati has walked 554 times this year and they have struck out on 1,348 occasions. They have had 1,170 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They have scored 4.3 runs per game and totaled 688 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates -230

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