» MLB Picks » Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros 8/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros 8/11/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

by Tony Sink - 8/10/2018

Saturday, August 11, 2018

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Wade LeBlanc vs. Charlie Morton

The Seattle Mariners visit Minute Maid Park on Saturday, August 11, 2018 to play the Houston Astros. The probable starters are Wade LeBlanc for the Mariners and Charlie Morton for the Astros.

The opening line for this matchup has Seattle at +192 and Houston at -207. The Mariners have a 57-57-2 over/under record and a 56-60-0 run line mark. The Astros are 60-56-0 against the run line and have a 51-59-6 over/under record.

Valuable Seattle Mariners Betting Trends

The Seattle Mariners are 57-57-2 against the over/under

The Seattle Mariners are 56-60-0 against the run line

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

The Houston Astros are 51-59-6 against the over/under

The Houston Astros are 60-56-0 against the run line

Key Seattle Mariners Injuries

08/08/18 P Sam Tuivailala Achilles 10-day DL (08/08)
08/04/18 P Juan Nicasio Knee 10-day DL (08/03)
08/01/18 P Roenis Elias Triceps 10-day DL (07/31)
06/09/18 P Dan Altavilla Elbow 60-day DL (06/07)
05/13/18 2B Robinson Cano Suspension 80-game suspension (eligible to return 8/14 vs Oakland Athletics)
05/03/18 RF Ichiro Suzuki Retired is out for season
05/01/18 P Erasmo Ramirez Arm 10-day DL (05/01)
03/26/18 P David Phelps Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

Key Houston Astros Injuries

08/10/18 SS Carlos Correa Back 10-day DL (06/26); expected to be activated and start Friday vs Seattle
08/07/18 RF George Springer Thumb 10-day DL (08/06)
08/05/18 P Lance McCullers Jr. Elbow 10-day DL (08/05)
08/04/18 P Chris Devenski Hamstring 10-day DL (07/31)
07/28/18 2B Jose Altuve Knee 10-day DL (07/28)
07/03/18 C Brian McCann Knee 10-day DL (07/01)
05/21/18 LF Derek Fisher Intestinal 10-day DL (05/20)
03/30/18 P Brady Rodgers Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)
03/26/18 P Jandel Gustave Elbow 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Mariners have a 66-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Wade LeBlanc has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.15 this season. He has 89 strikeouts over his 113.1 innings pitched and he's given up 107 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 347 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 388 hitters and walked 115 batters. As a team, Seattle allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.17. The Mariners pitchers collectively have given up 1,013 base hits and 482 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Seattle as a pitching staff has walked 280 batters and struck out 967. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.98.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Seattle is hitting .256, good for 7th in the league. The Mariners hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Dee Gordon is hitting .278 with an on-base percentage of .299. He has 120 hits this season in 431 at bats with 22 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .341 and an OPS+ of 80. Jean Segura is hitting .308 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 137 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 445 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .438. The Mariners have 1,008 hits, including 174 doubles and 134 home runs. Seattle has walked 298 times so far this season and they have struck out 867 times as a unit. They have left 764 men on base and have a team OPS of .729. They score 4.2 runs per contest and have scored a total of 487 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 73-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.81, Charlie Morton has a 12-2 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 167 strikeouts over the 131.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 97 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.01 and they have given up 261 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .211 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 407 batters and walked 85 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.6 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.04. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 815 base knocks and 353 earned runs this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year, which ranks 28th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 304 hitters and struck out 1,230 batters. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.07 while their FIP as a staff is 3.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 6th in the league. The Astros hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Alex Bregman comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .380. He has 120 hits this year along with 71 RBI in 435 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .515 with an OPS+ of 149. Yuli Gurriel is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .312. He has collected 108 hits in 382 at bats while driving in 56 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .395. The Astros as a unit have 1,008 base hits, including 213 doubles and 148 homers. Houston has walked 409 times this year and they have struck out on 884 occasions. They have had 773 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 575 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Mariners/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners +192

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less