Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox 4/28/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Saturday, April 28, 2018

Fenway Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Yonny Chirinos vs. David Price

The Tampa Bay Rays head to Fenway Park on Saturday, April 28, 2018 to take on the Boston Red Sox. The expected starting pitchers are Yonny Chirinos for the Rays and David Price for the Red Sox.

The odds for this matchup have Tampa Bay at +195 and Boston at -211. The Rays have a 16-7-0 over/under mark and a 13-10-0 run line record. The Red Sox are 12-12-0 against the run line and have a 13-10-1 over/under record.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-7-0 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-10-0 against the run line

Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Boston Red Sox are 13-10-1 against the over/under

The Boston Red Sox are 12-12-0 against the run line

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

04/17/18 CF Kevin Kiermaier Thumb 60-day DL (04/16)
04/17/18 3B Matt Duffy Hamstring 10-day DL (04/17)
04/11/18 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day DL (03/28)
03/29/18 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 10-day DL (03/28)

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

04/27/18 P Joe Kelly Suspension 6-game suspension
04/27/18 SS Xander Bogaerts Ankle is upgraded to in the starting lineup Friday vs Tampa Bay Rays
03/30/18 P Austin Maddox Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/30/18 P Tyler Thornburg Shoulder 10-day DL (03/29)
03/29/18 2B Dustin Pedroia Knee 10-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 60-day DL (03/29)
03/26/18 P Steven Wright Knee 10-day DL (03/26)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 10-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Yonny Chirinos has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.05 this year. He has 21 strikeouts over his 24.2 innings pitched and he's given up 19 hits. He allows 6.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 94 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .260 against the bullpen and they've struck out 85 hitters and walked 41 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.69. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 199 base hits and 107 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 13th in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 85 batters and struck out 195. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.31.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .260, good for 5th in the league. The Rays hold a .394 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. C.J. Cron is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .309. He has 23 hits this season in 87 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .517 and an OPS+ of 129. Mallex Smith is hitting .353 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .421. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 4 men in 68 at bats. His OPS+ is 150 while his slugging percentage is at .456. The Rays have 205 hits, including 36 doubles and 19 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 77 times so far this season and they have struck out 205 times as a unit. They have left 164 men on base and have a team OPS of .726. They score 4.57 runs per contest and have scored a total of 105 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Boston has a 19-5 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.93, David Price has a 2-2 record and a 1.16 WHIP this season. He has 23 strikeouts over the 27.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 22 hits. He allows 7.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.28 and they have given up 59 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .197 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 87 batters and walked 33 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 2.9. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 171 base knocks and 71 earned runs this season. They have given up 16 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 69 hitters and struck out 232 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.09 while their FIP as a staff is 3.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Rafael Devers comes into this matchup batting .261 with an OBP of .320. He has 24 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 92 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 98. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .368 this season and he has an OBP of .400. He has collected 14 hits in 38 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 191 and a slugging percentage of .711. The Red Sox as a unit have 230 base hits, including 63 doubles and 29 homers. Boston has walked 83 times this year and they have struck out on 179 occasions. They have had 168 men left on base and have an OPS of .793. They have scored 5.67 runs per game and totaled 136 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays +195

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