Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins 7/4/2018 Free MLB Picks and Predictions

Wednesday, July 4, 2018

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Andriese vs. Elieser Hernandez

Marlins Park is the site of the matchup between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins on Wednesday, July 4, 2018. The probable starting pitchers are Matt Andriese for the Rays and Elieser Hernandez for the Marlins.

Tampa Bay opens at -182 while Miami opens at +172. The Rays have a 34-46-4 over/under record and a 51-33-0 run line mark. The Marlins are 45-41-0 against the run line and have a 43-41-2 over/under record.

Valuable Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-46-4 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 51-33-0 against the run line

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 43-41-2 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 45-41-0 against the run line

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

06/30/18 P Wilmer Font Side 10-day DL (06/30)
06/26/18 P Jonny Venters Rest 10-day DL (06/25)
06/18/18 3B Christian Arroyo Oblique 10-day DL (06/17)
06/04/18 P Chris Archer Groin 10-day DL (06/03)
05/23/18 P Jake Faria Side 60-day DL (05/23)
04/11/18 P Jose De Leon Elbow 60-day DL (03/28)

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

06/25/18 P Caleb Smith Back 10-day DL (06/25)
06/22/18 P Jose Urena Shoulder 10-day DL (06/21)
06/16/18 P Chris O'Grady Shoulder 60-day DL (04/17)
05/26/18 3B Martin Prado Hamstring 10-day DL (05/26)
04/14/18 1B Garrett Cooper Wrist 60-day DL (04/02)
03/30/18 P Brett Graves Oblique 60-day DL (03/29)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Rays have a 42-42 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Andriese has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.14 this year. He has 43 strikeouts over his 49 innings pitched and he's given up 45 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 339 hitters and walked 127 batters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.6. The Rays pitchers collectively have given up 624 base hits and 300 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season, ranking them 23rd in the league. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 261 batters and struck out 699. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.87.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Tampa Bay is hitting .249, good for 11th in the league. The Rays hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Mallex Smith is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .333. He has 66 hits this season in 245 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .363 and an OPS+ of 98. C.J. Cron is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .315. He has totaled 71 hits and he has driven in 39 men in 296 at bats. His OPS+ is 111 while his slugging percentage is at .443. The Rays have 706 hits, including 121 doubles and 74 home runs. Tampa Bay has walked 263 times so far this season and they have struck out 738 times as a unit. They have left 587 men on base and have a team OPS of .703. They score 3.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 325 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 35-51 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.05, Elieser Hernandez has a 0-5 record and a 1.54 WHIP this season. He has 22 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 41 hits. He allows 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 323 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 309 batters and walked 158 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 733 base knocks and 400 earned runs this season. They have given up 102 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 327 hitters and struck out 681 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 20th in the league. The Marlins hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .361. He has 94 hits this year along with 40 RBI in 330 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .406 with an OPS+ of 116. Starlin Castro is hitting .288 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 96 hits in 333 at bats while driving in 31 runs. He has an OPS+ of 106 and a slugging percentage of .396. The Marlins as a unit have 707 base hits, including 127 doubles and 68 homers. Miami has walked 249 times this year and they have struck out on 758 occasions. They have had 611 men left on base and have an OPS of .668. They have scored 3.65 runs per game and totaled 314 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Rays/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rays -182

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