Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds MLB Picks & Predictions 9/6/2019

Friday, September 6, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Tyler Mahle

Great American Ball Park is the site where Jose Iglesias and the Cincinnati Reds (65-75, 4th in NL Central) will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (73-67, 2nd in NL West) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Diamondbacks coming in at -110 and the Reds are at -110. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Diamondbacks have been inconsistent for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 73-67-0 SU. Cincinnati covers 46.4% of the time, going 65-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 66-66-8.

The Diamondbacks are covering 52.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 37-34-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati covers 53.6% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 37-32-0 SU.

The Reds have been a dicey Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 55-80-5.

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Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

8/27/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Out for the season
8/27/2019 Yoshihisa Hirano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/26/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/15/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

9/4/2019 Alex Blandino 2B Face Probable for Sep 5
9/4/2019 Eugenio Suarez 3B Hand Probable for Sep 5
9/4/2019 Nick Senzel CF Shoulder Probable for Sep 5
9/4/2019 Kyle Farmer 2B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/2/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/28/2019 Jesse Winker LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 6

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Diamondbacks have a 73-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 12-7 record with an earned run average of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 199 strikeouts over his 152 innings pitched and he's given up 130 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 482 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 488 hitters and walked 205 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 1,217 base hits and 609 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 446 batters and struck out 1,209. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Arizona is hitting .258, good for 11th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .323. He has 149 hits this season in 550 at bats with 110 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .533 and an OPS+ of 114. Nick Ahmed is hitting .264 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 128 hits and he has driven in 77 men in 484 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .448. The Diamondbacks have 1,260 hits, including 249 doubles and 203 home runs. Arizona has walked 456 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,153 times as a unit. They have left 962 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 5.18 runs per contest and have scored a total of 725 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 65-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.72, Tyler Mahle has a 2-10 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 111 strikeouts over the 108.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 111 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 518 batters and walked 203 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,127 base knocks and 585 earned runs this season. They have given up 189 home runs this year, which ranks 16th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 464 hitters and struck out 1,345 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Jose Iglesias comes into this matchup batting .294 with an OBP of .322. He has 131 hits this year along with 51 RBI in 445 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .416 with an OPS+ of 88. Joey Votto is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .351. He has collected 121 hits in 462 at bats while driving in 43 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .416. The Reds as a unit have 1,164 base hits, including 203 doubles and 200 homers. Cincinnati has walked 403 times this year and they have struck out on 1,228 occasions. They have had 904 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.49 runs per game and totaled 629 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Diamondbacks (-110)

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