Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/28/2019
Sunday, July 28, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Robbie Ray vs. Elieser Hernandez
Eduardo Escobar and the Arizona Diamondbacks (52-52, 3rd in NL West) go to Marlins Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Miami Marlins (39-62, 5th in NL East). The Diamondbacks open this matchup at -147 while the Marlins are coming in at +137. The O/U has been set at 8.
The Diamondbacks have been dicey for MLB wagerers, having gone 52-52-0 SU. Miami is covering 38.6% of the time, going 39-62-0 straight up. The Diamondbacks have been less than ideal for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 22-19-0 SU. Miami is covering 36.5% of the time as the underdog, having gone 35-61-0 straight up.
Valuable Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
The Diamondbacks have been a solid Over play for over/under wagerers, having gone 50-48-6.
The Diamondbacks are covering 52.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 29-26-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins are covering 37.2% of the time at Marlins Park, going 19-32-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a less than ideal Over play for over/under wagerers, having gone 44-52-5.
Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries
7/26/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/20/2019 Matt Andriese RP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
5/30/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/26/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/26/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/23/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
7/18/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 28
7/16/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/11/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Diamondbacks have a 52-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robbie Ray has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 162 strikeouts over his 123 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 346 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 369 hitters and walked 153 batters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Diamondbacks pitchers collectively have given up 880 base hits and 446 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Arizona as a pitching staff has walked 327 batters and struck out 921. They have walked 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.
As a team Arizona is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .289 with an on-base percentage of .343. He has 117 hits this season in 405 at bats with 79 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .546 and an OPS+ of 125. Ketel Marte is hitting .321 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 62 men in 402 at bats. His OPS+ is 142 while his slugging percentage is at .577. The Diamondbacks have 949 hits, including 201 doubles and 144 home runs. Arizona has walked 333 times so far this season and they have struck out 876 times as a unit. They have left 731 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 533 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 39-62 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.24, Elieser Hernandez has a 1-4 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 39 strikeouts over the 34.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.58. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 355 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 821 base knocks and 431 earned runs this season. They have given up 125 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 365 hitters and struck out 878 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .359 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .242 with an OBP of .323. He has 88 hits this year along with 46 RBI in 363 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .421 with an OPS+ of 100. Starlin Castro is hitting .249 this season and he has an OBP of .276. He has collected 100 hits in 402 at bats while driving in 42 runs. He has an OPS+ of 70 and a slugging percentage of .356. The Marlins as a unit have 811 base hits, including 159 doubles and 81 homers. Miami has walked 237 times this year and they have struck out on 911 occasions. They have had 653 men left on base and have an OPS of .653. They have scored 3.56 runs per game and totaled 360 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Diamondbacks/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +137
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