Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/25/2019

Thursday, April 25, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Luis Castillo

The Atlanta Braves visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday, April 25, 2019 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Julio Teheran for the Braves and Luis Castillo for the Reds.

The opening line for this matchup has Atlanta at +130 and Cincinnati at -140. The Braves have a 12-9-1 over/under record and a 11-11-0 run line mark. The Reds are 12-10-0 against the run line and have a 5-17-0 over/under record.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 12-9-1 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 11-11-0 against the run line

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Cincinnati Reds are 5-17-0 against the over/under

The Cincinnati Reds are 12-10-0 against the run line

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

04/23/19 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow is probable next start
04/17/19 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder is out for season
04/15/19 P Jonny Venters Calf 10-day IL (04/15)
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

04/23/19 LF Matt Kemp Ribs 10-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 11-11 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 5.61 and a WHIP of 1.64 this season. He has 29 strikeouts over his 25.2 innings pitched and he's given up 28 hits. He's allowed 9.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.03. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 77 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the bullpen and they've struck out 97 hitters and walked 56 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.73. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 187 base hits and 102 earned runs. They have allowed 29 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 108 batters and struck out 199. They have walked 5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.52 and their FIP as a unit is 4.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .266, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .455 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .356, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .310 with an on-base percentage of .431. He has 26 hits this season in 84 at bats with 13 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .464 and an OPS+ of 138. Dansby Swanson is hitting .268 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 19 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 71 at bats. His OPS+ is 146 while his slugging percentage is at .577. The Braves have 199 hits, including 42 doubles and 29 home runs. Atlanta has walked 100 times so far this season and they have struck out 205 times as a unit. They have left 171 men on base and have a team OPS of .811. They score 5.45 runs per contest and have scored a total of 120 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 9-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.47, Luis Castillo has a 2-1 record and a 0.88 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 30.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 13 hits. He's allowing 3.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have given up 67 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 80 batters and walked 33 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.31. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 163 base knocks and 71 earned runs this season. They have given up 17 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 73 hitters and struck out 218 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.25.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .201, good for 30th in the league. The Reds hold a .381 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .270, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .225 with an OBP of .345. He has 16 hits this year along with 9 RBI in 71 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .493 with an OPS+ of 115. Joey Votto is hitting .235 this season and he has an OBP of .342. He has collected 16 hits in 68 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 96 and a slugging percentage of .412. The Reds as a unit have 142 base hits, including 30 doubles and 31 homers. Cincinnati has walked 61 times this year and they have struck out on 197 occasions. They have had 116 men left on base and have an OPS of .651. They have scored 3.59 runs per game and totaled 79 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Braves +130

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