Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/8/2019
Thursday, August 8, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Elieser Hernandez
Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (42-70, 5th in NL East) host the Atlanta Braves (67-48, 1st in NL East) at Marlins Park on Thursday, August 8, 2019.
The Braves have been excellent for bettors, having gone 67-48-0 SU. Miami is covering 37.5% of the time, going 42-70-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 57-53-5.
Atlanta is covering 60.3% of the time away from home, having gone 35-23-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins are covering 38.6% of the time at Marlins Park, going 22-35-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a good Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 51-55-6.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
8/4/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 11
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
8/6/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
8/5/2019 Neil Walker 1B Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/5/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
8/5/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/5/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/5/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 67-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.25 this season. He has 42 strikeouts over his 56 innings pitched and he's given up 51 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.75. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.22 and they have given up 388 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the bullpen and they've struck out 426 hitters and walked 201 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,004 base hits and 496 earned runs. They have allowed 149 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 426 batters and struck out 977. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.39 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .398. He has 135 hits this season in 441 at bats with 91 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .569 and an OPS+ of 144. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .294 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .376. He has totaled 137 hits and he has driven in 72 men in 466 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .513. The Braves have 1,050 hits, including 201 doubles and 179 home runs. Atlanta has walked 419 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,022 times as a unit. They have left 818 men on base and have a team OPS of .796. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 615 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 42-70 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.66, Elieser Hernandez has a 1-4 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 41.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 40 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 358 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 399 batters and walked 168 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 903 base knocks and 489 earned runs this season. They have given up 147 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 415 hitters and struck out 971 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.61.
As a team, they are batting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .364 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 8.0 hits per contest. Miguel Rojas comes into this matchup batting .289 with an OBP of .344. He has 110 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 380 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .384 with an OPS+ of 97. Starlin Castro is hitting .247 this season and he has an OBP of .274. He has collected 109 hits in 442 at bats while driving in 46 runs. He has an OPS+ of 69 and a slugging percentage of .355. The Marlins as a unit have 899 base hits, including 178 doubles and 93 homers. Miami has walked 260 times this year and they have struck out on 1,005 occasions. They have had 715 men left on base and have an OPS of .658. They have scored 3.59 runs per game and totaled 402 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves
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