Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins MLB Betting Tips 8/11/2019
Sunday, August 11, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Mike Foltynewicz vs. Hector Noesi
Marlins Park is the site where Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (43-71, 5th in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (68-49, 1st in NL East) on Sunday.
The Braves have been terrible for oddsmakers, having gone 68-49-0 SU. The Marlins cover 37.7% of the time, going 43-71-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been a solid Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 59-53-5.
Atlanta covers 60.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 36-24-0 straight up.
Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins cover 39.7% of the time at Marlins Park, going 23-35-0 SU.
The Marlins have been a dicey Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 52-55-7.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
8/8/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/8/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/7/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
8/5/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 17
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/5/2019 Neil Walker 1B Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/5/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/4/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
8/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 68-49 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 3-5 record with an earned run average of 6.26 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 57 strikeouts over his 64.2 innings pitched and he's given up 69 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.25 and they have given up 400 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 430 hitters and walked 203 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.4. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,032 base hits and 512 earned runs. They have allowed 153 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 430 batters and struck out 995. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.40 and their FIP as a unit is 4.60.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .307 with an on-base percentage of .399. He has 138 hits this season in 449 at bats with 92 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .572 and an OPS+ of 146. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .295 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 140 hits and he has driven in 75 men in 475 at bats. His OPS+ is 128 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Braves have 1,071 hits, including 204 doubles and 184 home runs. Atlanta has walked 426 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,037 times as a unit. They have left 830 men on base and have a team OPS of .799. They score 5.37 runs per contest and have scored a total of 628 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Miami has a 43-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 9.00, Hector Noesi has a 0-1 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 5 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 5 hits. He's allowing 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 9.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.70 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 402 batters and walked 170 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 918 base knocks and 498 earned runs this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 420 hitters and struck out 987 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Brian Anderson comes into this matchup batting .252 with an OBP of .333. He has 104 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 412 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .468 with an OPS+ of 113. Starlin Castro is hitting .251 this season and he has an OBP of .277. He has collected 113 hits in 451 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 72 and a slugging percentage of .366. The Marlins as a unit have 922 base hits, including 181 doubles and 97 homers. Miami has walked 264 times this year and they have struck out on 1,020 occasions. They have had 728 men left on base and have an OPS of .662. They have scored 3.62 runs per game and totaled 413 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Marlins MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Braves
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