Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Game Picks 7/15/2019
Monday, July 15, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Adrian Houser
Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (48-45, 2nd in NL Central) host the Atlanta Braves (56-37, 1st in NL East) at Miller Park on Monday, July 15, 2019. The odds on this game have the Braves coming in at +105 and the Brewers are at -115. The total has been set at 10.5.
The Braves have been a strong bet for MLB bettors, having gone 56-37-0 SU. The Brewers cover 51.6% of the time, going 48-45-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a good option for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 29-25-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 44.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 13-16-0 straight up.
Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 48-40-5.
The Braves cover 60.9% of the time on the road, having gone 28-18-0 straight up.
Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
Milwaukee is covering 59.6% of the time at Miller Park, going 28-19-0 SU.
The Brewers have been a decent Under bet for O/U wagerers, having gone 41-48-4.
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/12/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/8/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/12/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Braves have a 56-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 9-4 record with an earned run average of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 97 strikeouts over his 98.2 innings pitched and he's given up 110 hits. He's allowed 10 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 312 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 365 hitters and walked 161 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.16. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 805 base hits and 386 earned runs. They have allowed 116 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 343 batters and struck out 798. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.50.
As a team Atlanta is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league. The Braves hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .388. He has 110 hits this season in 364 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .571 and an OPS+ of 142. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .289 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 107 hits and he has driven in 55 men in 370 at bats. His OPS+ is 125 while his slugging percentage is at .514. The Braves have 847 hits, including 166 doubles and 148 home runs. Atlanta has walked 335 times so far this season and they have struck out 808 times as a unit. They have left 645 men on base and have a team OPS of .801. They score 5.41 runs per contest and have scored a total of 503 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Milwaukee has a 48-45 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.01, Adrian Houser has a 2-3 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 47 strikeouts over the 42.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 43 hits. He's allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 334 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 416 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 827 base knocks and 434 earned runs this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year, which ranks 13th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 318 hitters and struck out 867 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .250 with an OBP of .310. He has 88 hits this year along with 30 RBI in 352 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .355 with an OPS+ of 72. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this season and he has an OBP of .429. He has collected 103 hits in 314 at bats while driving in 67 runs. He has an OPS+ of 185 and a slugging percentage of .701. The Brewers as a unit have 793 base hits, including 157 doubles and 156 homers. Milwaukee has walked 352 times this year and they have struck out on 889 occasions. They have had 662 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 444 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Braves/Brewers MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -115
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