Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Game Picks 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Julio Teheran vs. Drew Smyly

Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (90-56, 1st in NL East) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (75-69, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this game at +110 while the Braves are priced at -120. The total is set at 10.

The Braves have been a great choice for MLB bettors, having gone 90-56-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 52.1% of the time, going 75-69-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 69-69-8.

Atlanta is covering 60.6% of the time as the away team, having gone 43-28-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 56.8% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 42-32-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a less than ideal Under pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 67-73-4.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/10/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/9/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/10/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/10/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/10/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 90-56 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Julio Teheran has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.29 this season. He has 154 strikeouts over his 163.1 innings pitched and he's given up 134 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 507 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 530 hitters and walked 232 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,293 base hits and 616 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 510 batters and struck out 1,259. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.45.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .365. He has 166 hits this season in 587 at bats with 94 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .516 and an OPS+ of 122. Freddie Freeman is hitting .305 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .395. He has totaled 170 hits and he has driven in 117 men in 558 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .573. The Braves have 1,299 hits, including 252 doubles and 230 home runs. Atlanta has walked 552 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,312 times as a unit. They have left 1,016 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 783 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 75-69 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.20, Drew Smyly has a 4-6 record and a 1.60 WHIP. He has 104 strikeouts over the 101.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 112 hits. He's allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 520 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 501 batters and walked 205 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.5 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,310 base knocks and 660 earned runs this season. They have given up 231 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 481 hitters and struck out 1,216 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 19th in the league. The Phillies hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .375. He has 120 hits this year along with 80 RBI in 509 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .475 with an OPS+ of 117. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 130 hits in 511 at bats while driving in 102 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .499. The Phillies as a unit have 1,230 base hits, including 281 doubles and 191 homers. Philadelphia has walked 514 times this year and they have struck out on 1,283 occasions. They have had 1,014 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They have scored 4.9 runs per game and totaled 705 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies (+110)

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