Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Point Spread Picks 9/10/2019

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Max Fried vs. Jason Vargas

Citizens Bank Park is the site where Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (74-68, 3rd in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (89-55, 1st in NL East) on Tuesday. The Phillies open this game at +125 while the Braves are priced at -135. The total is set at 9.5.

The Braves have been great for MLB wagerers, having gone 89-55-0 SU. The Phillies are covering 52.1% of the time, going 74-68-0 straight up.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a decent Over option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 68-69-7.

Atlanta covers 60.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 42-27-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia covers 56.9% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 41-31-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a decent Over option for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 66-73-3.

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

9/5/2019 Alex Jackson C Knee Out for the season
8/24/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/8/2019 Bryce Harper RF Hand Probable for Sep 9
9/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/4/2019 Juan Nicasio RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
9/3/2019 Edubray Ramos RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
9/1/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/31/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/21/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 89-55 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Max Fried has a 16-4 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.32 this season. He has 159 strikeouts over his 149.1 innings pitched and he's given up 155 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 504 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen and they've struck out 524 hitters and walked 229 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,280 base hits and 608 earned runs. They have allowed 180 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 506 batters and struck out 1,241. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .259, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .280 with an on-base percentage of .362. He has 162 hits this season in 579 at bats with 93 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .511 and an OPS+ of 119. Freddie Freeman is hitting .299 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .391. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 115 men in 549 at bats. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .570. The Braves have 1,281 hits, including 249 doubles and 227 home runs. Atlanta has walked 543 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,291 times as a unit. They have left 1,005 men on base and have a team OPS of .795. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 771 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 74-68 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.27, Jason Vargas has a 6-7 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 104 strikeouts over the 132.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 121 hits. He's allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.68. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.64 and they have given up 514 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 490 batters and walked 203 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,292 base knocks and 650 earned runs this season. They have given up 228 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 472 hitters and struck out 1,195 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Phillies hold a .428 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .236 with an OBP of .376. He has 118 hits this year along with 80 RBI in 501 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .477 with an OPS+ of 118. Bryce Harper is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 128 hits in 503 at bats while driving in 101 runs. He has an OPS+ of 121 and a slugging percentage of .497. The Phillies as a unit have 1,217 base hits, including 279 doubles and 184 homers. Philadelphia has walked 510 times this year and they have struck out on 1,265 occasions. They have had 1,006 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.91 runs per game and totaled 697 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves (-135)

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