Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals MLB Betting Tips 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Dallas Keuchel vs. Stephen Strasburg

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals (35-38, 3rd in NL East) host the Atlanta Braves (44-31, 1st in NL East) at Nationals Park on Friday, June 21, 2019. The Nationals open this matchup at -145 while the Braves are coming in at +135. The total has been set at 9.

The Braves have been a very good option for bettors, having gone 44-31-0 SU. Washington is covering 47.9% of the time, going 35-38-0 straight up. The Nationals have been less than ideal for Las Vegas oddsmakers as a favorite, going 24-22-0 SU. Atlanta has gone 9-12-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 42.9% of the time.

Valuable Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves have been a terrible Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 43-29-3.

The Braves are covering 58.8% of the time away from home, having gone 20-14-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

The Nationals are covering 52.8% of the time at Nationals Park, going 19-17-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a hot and cold Under pick for O/U wagerers, having gone 37-31-5.

Related: Launch Angle Stat: Advice for MLB Handicapping and Betting

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

6/19/2019 Sean Newcomb RP Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/14/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 24
6/11/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/5/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

6/16/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/15/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
6/13/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/13/2019 Ryan Zimmerman 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/4/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Braves have a 44-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel will be making his first start of the season for the Braves after signing after the draft. He may be rusty so don't assume he'll go deep into the game. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 261 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 295 hitters and walked 136 batters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 643 base hits and 319 earned runs. They have allowed 95 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 285 batters and struck out 648. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.51.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Atlanta is hitting .266, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .462 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.2 hits per game. Freddie Freeman is hitting .315 with an on-base percentage of .403. He has 92 hits this season in 292 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .606 and an OPS+ of 154. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 87 hits and he has driven in 49 men in 297 at bats. His OPS+ is 123 while his slugging percentage is at .505. The Braves have 692 hits, including 129 doubles and 115 home runs. Atlanta has walked 276 times so far this season and they have struck out 637 times as a unit. They have left 538 men on base and have a team OPS of .803. They score 5.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 407 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 35-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.75, Stephen Strasburg has a 7-4 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 96 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 78 hits. He's allowing 7.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.20 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 222 batters and walked 95 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 618 base knocks and 328 earned runs this season. They have given up 90 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 232 hitters and struck out 690 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 14th in the league. The Nationals hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .309 with an OBP of .402. He has 67 hits this year along with 50 RBI in 217 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .636 with an OPS+ of 161. Adam Eaton is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 75 hits in 268 at bats while driving in 19 runs. He has an OPS+ of 97 and a slugging percentage of .399. The Nationals as a unit have 621 base hits, including 121 doubles and 101 homers. Washington has walked 237 times this year and they have struck out on 636 occasions. They have had 486 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 360 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Braves/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Braves +135

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