Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Picks & Predictions 8/18/2019
Sunday, August 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Gabriel Ynoa vs. Nathan Eovaldi
Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles (39-83, 5th in AL East) go to Fenway Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Boston Red Sox (65-59, 3rd in AL East).
The Orioles have been very good for oddsmakers, having gone 39-83-0 SU. Boston is covering 52.4% of the time, going 65-59-0 straight up.
Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Orioles have been an awful Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 62-50-10.
The Orioles cover 34.4% of the time on the road, having gone 21-40-0 straight up.
Important Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
Boston is covering 50.8% of the time at Fenway Park, going 31-30-0 SU.
The Red Sox have been an awful Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 73-48-3.
Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries
8/12/2019 Dwight Smith LF Calf Expected to be out until at least Aug 24
8/1/2019 Mark Trumbo LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/1/2019 Josh Rogers RP Elbow Out for the season
6/11/2019 Alex Cobb SP Hip Out for the season
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
8/16/2019 Brock Holt 2B Personal Probable for Aug 17
8/16/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/16/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 30
8/12/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
8/6/2019 Steven Wright RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 20
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Orioles have a 39-83 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gabriel Ynoa has a 1-7 record with an earned run average of 5.93 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 50 strikeouts over his 82 innings pitched and he's given up 92 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.30 and they have given up 551 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .277 against the bullpen and they've struck out 465 hitters and walked 232 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.95. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 1,181 base hits and 713 earned runs. They have allowed 251 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 436 batters and struck out 932. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.50 and their FIP as a unit is 5.88.
As a team Baltimore is hitting .245, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .306, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Trey Mancini is hitting .275 with an on-base percentage of .342. He has 125 hits this season in 455 at bats with 71 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .534 and an OPS+ of 127. Jonathan Villar is hitting .271 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 54 men in 476 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .439. The Orioles have 1,027 hits, including 190 doubles and 154 home runs. Baltimore has walked 337 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,112 times as a unit. They have left 795 men on base and have a team OPS of .716. They score 4.36 runs per contest and have scored a total of 532 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Boston has a 65-59 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.77, Nathan Eovaldi has a 1-0 record and a 1.54 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 34.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 38 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.37. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.34 and they have given up 433 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 561 batters and walked 219 opposing hitters. As a team, Boston allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,103 base knocks and 595 earned runs this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Boston as a staff has walked 438 hitters and struck out 1,242 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .276, good for 1st in the league. The Red Sox hold a .479 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.9 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this matchup batting .282 with an OBP of .388. He has 137 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 486 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .498 with an OPS+ of 127. Rafael Devers is hitting .328 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 162 hits in 494 at bats while driving in 95 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .581. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,232 base hits, including 277 doubles and 194 homers. Boston has walked 459 times this year and they have struck out on 1,052 occasions. They have had 914 men left on base and have an OPS of .825. They have scored 5.74 runs per game and totaled 718 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Orioles/Red Sox MLB game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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