Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians MLB Picks & Predictions 5/18/2019

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: John Means vs. Adam Plutko

Progressive Field is the venue where Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (23-19, 2nd in AL Central) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (14-29, 5th in AL East) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Orioles priced at +142 and the Indians are at -152. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Orioles have been a bad option for baseball bettors, having gone 14-29-0 SU. Cleveland covers 54.8% of the time, going 23-19-0 straight up. The Indians have been decent for baseball bettors as favorites, going 19-16-0 SU. The Orioles are covering 30.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 13-29-0 straight up.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have been a dicey Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 21-20-2.

The Orioles are covering 36.4% of the time on the road, having gone 8-14-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

Cleveland covers 63.2% of the time at Progressive Field, going 12-7-0 SU.

The Indians have been a strong Under choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 17-24-1.

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

05/14/19 CF Tyler Naquin Calf 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Corey Kluber Forearm 10-day IL (05/03)
04/09/19 P Mike Clevinger Back 10-day IL (04/09)
03/27/19 CF Bradley Zimmer Shoulder 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Danny Salazar Shoulder 60-day IL (03/24)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 14-29 overall record this season. Starting pitcher John Means has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.03 this season. He has 33 strikeouts over his 38.2 innings pitched and he's given up 30 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.13 and they have given up 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the bullpen and they've struck out 169 hitters and walked 84 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.66. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 398 base hits and 238 earned runs. They have allowed 91 home runs this season, ranking them 1st in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 154 batters and struck out 329. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 5.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .237, good for 23rd in the league. The Orioles hold a .392 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Jonathan Villar is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .313. He has 45 hits this season in 176 at bats with 16 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .392 and an OPS+ of 91. Trey Mancini is hitting .313 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .362. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 160 at bats. His OPS+ is 147 while his slugging percentage is at .563. The Orioles have 349 hits, including 63 doubles and 50 home runs. Baltimore has walked 113 times so far this season and they have struck out 381 times as a unit. They have left 283 men on base and have a team OPS of .689. They score 3.95 runs per contest and have scored a total of 170 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 23-19 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.96 and they have given up 115 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 124 batters and walked 41 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 318 base knocks and 148 earned runs this season. They have given up 47 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 125 hitters and struck out 392 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 25th in the league. The Indians hold a .361 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .277 with an OBP of .378. He has 41 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 148 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .426 with an OPS+ of 112. Jake Bauers is hitting .240 this season and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 31 hits in 129 at bats while driving in 14 runs. He has an OPS+ of 85 and a slugging percentage of .372. The Indians as a unit have 306 base hits, including 55 doubles and 43 homers. Cleveland has walked 154 times this year and they have struck out on 387 occasions. They have had 274 men left on base and have an OPS of .670. They have scored 3.9 runs per game and totaled 164 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Orioles/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles +142

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