Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers Expert MLB Picks 7/7/2019
Sunday, July 7, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Gregory Soto
J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox (47-41, 3rd in AL East) are headed to Comerica Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Detroit Tigers (28-55, 4th in AL Central). The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox coming in at -255 and the Tigers are at +233. The over/under is set at 10.
The Red Sox have been a good choice for MLB bettors, having gone 47-41-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 33.7% of the time, going 28-55-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been a very good play for baseball wagerers as a favorite, going 41-32-0 SU. Detroit covers 30.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 21-47-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a rough Under play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 50-35-3.
Boston covers 58.7% of the time as the visitor, having gone 27-19-0 straight up.
Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Tigers are covering 28.6% of the time at Comerica Park, going 12-30-0 SU.
The Tigers have been a decent Under play for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 37-41-5.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
7/5/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
7/2/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Detroit Tigers Injuries
7/5/2019 Victor Alcantara RP Mouth Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
7/4/2019 JaCoby Jones CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 14
7/3/2019 Grayson Greiner C Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/28/2019 Spencer Turnbull SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/14/2019 Tyson Ross SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/9/2019 Josh Harrison 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/30/2019 Matt Moore SP Knee Out for the season
3/23/2019 Michael Fulmer SP Elbow Out for the season
10/25/2019 Artie Lewicki RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 47-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price has a 6-2 record with an earned run average of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 89 strikeouts over his 78.1 innings pitched and he's given up 70 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 410 hitters and walked 158 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 766 base hits and 407 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 301 batters and struck out 892. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team Boston is hitting .271, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .345, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .372. He has 94 hits this season in 313 at bats with 48 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .537 and an OPS+ of 133. Rafael Devers is hitting .331 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .385. He has totaled 111 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 335 at bats. His OPS+ is 143 while his slugging percentage is at .561. The Red Sox have 848 hits, including 179 doubles and 130 home runs. Boston has walked 338 times so far this season and they have struck out 737 times as a unit. They have left 647 men on base and have a team OPS of .805. They score 5.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 493 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Detroit has a 28-55 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 8.06, Gregory Soto has a 0-2 record and a 1.88 WHIP. He has 16 strikeouts over the 22.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 12.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.29. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.06 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 271 batters and walked 140 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 783 base knocks and 407 earned runs this season. They have given up 129 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 273 hitters and struck out 677 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.87.
As a team, they are batting .232, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .380 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Nicholas Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .281 with an OBP of .342. He has 91 hits this year along with 32 RBI in 324 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .469 with an OPS+ of 113. Miguel Cabrera is hitting .303 this season and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 84 hits in 277 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 105 and a slugging percentage of .401. The Tigers as a unit have 660 base hits, including 159 doubles and 74 homers. Detroit has walked 227 times this year and they have struck out on 813 occasions. They have had 559 men left on base and have an OPS of .672. They have scored 3.6 runs per game and totaled 302 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Tigers MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers +233
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Josh Schonwald
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks