» MLB Picks » Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks 6/19/2019

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks 6/19/2019

by Josh Schonwald - 6/18/2019

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. Kyle Gibson

Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (40-34, 3rd in AL East) are headed to Target Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the Minnesota Twins (47-24, 1st in AL Central). The Twins open this game at -113 while the Red Sox are priced at +103. The over/under has been set at 9.5.

The Red Sox have been solid for baseball wagerers, having gone 40-34-0 SU. The Twins cover 66.2% of the time, going 47-24-0 straight up. The Twins have been a strong pick for MLB bettors as the favorite, going 31-14-0 SU. Boston has gone 5-7-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 41.7% of the time.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a strong Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 40-31-3.

The Red Sox cover 57.5% of the time as the road team, having gone 23-17-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

Minnesota covers 65.7% of the time at Target Field, going 23-12-0 SU.

The Twins have been a strong Over choice for over/under wagerers, having gone 38-29-4.

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

6/17/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/17/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/15/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/15/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
6/14/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/9/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/17/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Probable for Jun 18
6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 40-34 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 84 strikeouts over his 79 innings pitched and he's given up 84 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.97 and they have given up 243 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 327 hitters and walked 121 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.28. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 610 base hits and 316 earned runs. They have allowed 90 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 739. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 10 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .261, good for 5th in the league. The Red Sox hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .266 with an on-base percentage of .385. He has 74 hits this season in 278 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .453 and an OPS+ of 121. J.D. Martinez is hitting .301 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .378. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 249 at bats. His OPS+ is 144 while his slugging percentage is at .562. The Red Sox have 674 hits, including 140 doubles and 107 home runs. Boston has walked 290 times so far this season and they have struck out 620 times as a unit. They have left 533 men on base and have a team OPS of .787. They score 5.35 runs per contest and have scored a total of 396 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 47-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.70, Kyle Gibson has a 7-3 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 75.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 71 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.87. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.71 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 230 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 590 base knocks and 274 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 198 hitters and struck out 617 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .511 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .332 with an OBP of .394. He has 91 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 274 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .555 with an OPS+ of 152. Eddie Rosario is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .293. He has collected 70 hits in 271 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .509. The Twins as a unit have 671 base hits, including 154 doubles and 137 homers. Minnesota has walked 223 times this year and they have struck out on 551 occasions. They have had 476 men left on base and have an OPS of .852. They have scored 5.87 runs per game and totaled 417 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -113

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