Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Expert MLB Picks 7/2/2019
Tuesday, July 2, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Trent Thornton
Rogers Centre is the site where Freddy Galvis and the Toronto Blue Jays (31-53, 4th in AL East) will take on the Boston Red Sox (44-40, 3rd in AL East) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox coming in at -155 and the Blue Jays are at +145. The O/U opens at 9.5.
The Red Sox have been a solid choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 44-40-0 SU. Toronto covers 36.9% of the time, going 31-53-0 straight up. The Red Sox have been great for wagerers as the favorite, going 38-31-0 SU. Toronto covers 33.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 21-41-0 straight up.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Red Sox have been a bad Under option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 47-34-3.
Boston covers 57.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 24-18-0 straight up.
Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Blue Jays cover 36.6% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 15-26-0 SU.
The Blue Jays have been a pretty good Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 42-39-3.
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
6/30/2019 Andrew Benintendi LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/30/2019 Brock Holt 2B Leg Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/29/2019 Brian Johnson RP Infection Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/29/2019 Tyler Thornburg RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/28/2019 Blake Swihart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/25/2019 Nathan Eovaldi SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/24/2019 Heath Hembree RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/19/2019 Tzu-Wei Lin 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/8/2019 Mitch Moreland 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/28/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season
Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries
6/29/2019 Clay Buchholz SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/29/2019 Marcus Stroman SP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/29/2019 Edwin Jackson SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/28/2019 Jacob Waguespack RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/26/2019 Ryan Borucki RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/17/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/13/2019 Ryan Tepera RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
6/4/2019 Dalton Pompey CF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
5/15/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 44-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price has a 5-2 record with an earned run average of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 82 strikeouts over his 72.1 innings pitched and he's given up 66 hits. He's allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 300 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen and they've struck out 393 hitters and walked 149 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 727 base hits and 384 earned runs. They have allowed 105 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 283 batters and struck out 858. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 10.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team Boston is hitting .269, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .344, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. J.D. Martinez is hitting .298 with an on-base percentage of .374. He has 88 hits this season in 295 at bats with 47 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .549 and an OPS+ of 137. Rafael Devers is hitting .322 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .372. He has totaled 103 hits and he has driven in 50 men in 320 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .525. The Red Sox have 803 hits, including 170 doubles and 121 home runs. Boston has walked 327 times so far this season and they have struck out 707 times as a unit. They have left 623 men on base and have a team OPS of .801. They score 5.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 463 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Toronto has a 31-53 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.60, Trent Thornton has a 2-5 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 91 strikeouts over the 86 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 85 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.36 and they have given up 325 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 365 batters and walked 147 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 764 base knocks and 405 earned runs this season. They have given up 123 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 322 hitters and struck out 693 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.92.
As a team, they are batting .229, good for 28th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.7 hits per contest. Freddy Galvis comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .297. He has 78 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 303 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .426 with an OPS+ of 94. Randal Grichuk is hitting .227 this season and he has an OBP of .287. He has collected 71 hits in 313 at bats while driving in 34 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .419. The Blue Jays as a unit have 646 base hits, including 123 doubles and 116 homers. Toronto has walked 258 times this year and they have struck out on 774 occasions. They have had 506 men left on base and have an OPS of .698. They have scored 4.23 runs per game and totaled 355 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays +145
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