Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 9/10/2019

Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Nathan Eovaldi vs. T.J. Zeuch

Mookie Betts and the Boston Red Sox (76-67, 3rd in AL East) are headed to Rogers Centre on Tuesday where they'll take on the Toronto Blue Jays (55-89, 4th in AL East). The moneyline on this matchup has the Red Sox priced at -135 and the Blue Jays are at +125. The O/U opens at 9.5.

The Red Sox have been a pretty good choice for MLB wagerers, having gone 76-67-0 SU. Toronto is covering 38.2% of the time, going 55-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been a terrible Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 79-60-4.

Boston is covering 58.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 40-29-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays are covering 39.1% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 27-42-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a dicey Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 65-73-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/8/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/5/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/1/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
8/23/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/7/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 76-67 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 5.77 and a WHIP of 1.51 this season. He has 49 strikeouts over his 48.1 innings pitched and he's given up 49 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.49. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.24 and they have given up 506 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen and they've struck out 670 hitters and walked 271 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,248 base hits and 669 earned runs. They have allowed 188 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 523 batters and struck out 1,419. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .273, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .477 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Mookie Betts is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .389. He has 163 hits this season in 560 at bats with 77 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .525 and an OPS+ of 134. Rafael Devers is hitting .313 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .363. He has totaled 179 hits and he has driven in 107 men in 571 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .566. The Red Sox have 1,385 hits, including 317 doubles and 225 home runs. Boston has walked 523 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,199 times as a unit. They have left 1,025 men on base and have a team OPS of .821. They score 5.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 813 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 55-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, T.J. Zeuch has a 0-0 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 4 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 3 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 582 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 632 batters and walked 281 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,279 base knocks and 671 earned runs this season. They have given up 198 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 542 hitters and struck out 1,167 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Randal Grichuk comes into this matchup batting .230 with an OBP of .282. He has 119 hits this year along with 64 RBI in 517 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .437 with an OPS+ of 89. Justin Smoak is hitting .212 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 80 hits in 378 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .407. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,136 base hits, including 235 doubles and 214 homers. Toronto has walked 446 times this year and they have struck out on 1,326 occasions. They have had 878 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 627 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-135)

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