Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Picks & Predictions 9/11/2019

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Rogers Centre

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Trent Thornton

Rogers Centre is the site where Justin Smoak and the Toronto Blue Jays (55-89, 4th in AL East) will play the Boston Red Sox (76-68, 3rd in AL East) on Wednesday. The Red Sox open this game at -145 while the Blue Jays are priced at +135. The O/U has been set at 10.5.

The Red Sox have been a good choice for MLB bettors, having gone 76-68-0 SU. Toronto is covering 38.2% of the time, going 55-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

The Red Sox have been an excellent Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 79-61-4.

Boston is covering 58.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 40-29-0 straight up.

Important Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends

The Blue Jays cover 39.1% of the time at Rogers Centre, going 27-42-0 SU.

The Blue Jays have been a dicey Under pick for O/U bettors, having gone 65-73-6.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Boston Red Sox Injuries

9/9/2019 Heath Hembree RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/8/2019 David Price SP Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 19
9/5/2019 Michael Chavis 1B Oblique Out for the season
9/1/2019 Chris Sale SP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Steven Wright RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/11/2019 Steve Pearce 1B Knee Out for the season
8/7/2019 Dustin Pedroia 2B Knee Out for the season
11/1/2019 Austin Maddox RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Toronto Blue Jays Injuries

9/7/2019 Lourdes Gurriel LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/1/2019 Luke Maile C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/11/2019 Ryan Borucki SP Elbow Out for the season
8/9/2019 Elvis Luciano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/7/2019 Devon Travis 2B Knee Out for the season
7/22/2019 Matt Shoemaker SP Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Red Sox have a 76-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 3-10 record with an earned run average of 5.60 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 84 strikeouts over his 91.2 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.28 and they have given up 513 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen and they've struck out 673 hitters and walked 273 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 1,260 base hits and 674 earned runs. They have allowed 190 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 526 batters and struck out 1,431. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.28.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 2nd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Rafael Devers is hitting .314 with an on-base percentage of .364. He has 180 hits this season in 574 at bats with 107 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .564 and an OPS+ of 135. Mookie Betts is hitting .290 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 164 hits and he has driven in 77 men in 565 at bats. His OPS+ is 133 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Red Sox have 1,392 hits, including 318 doubles and 225 home runs. Boston has walked 526 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,209 times as a unit. They have left 1,035 men on base and have a team OPS of .818. They score 5.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 813 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Toronto has a 55-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.23, Trent Thornton has a 4-9 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 127 strikeouts over the 134.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 147 hits. He's allowing 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.89. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.38 and they have given up 582 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Blue Jays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 632 batters and walked 281 opposing hitters. As a team, Toronto allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,279 base knocks and 671 earned runs this season. They have given up 198 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Toronto as a staff has walked 542 hitters and struck out 1,167 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.82.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .234, good for 30th in the league. The Blue Jays hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .301, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 30th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Justin Smoak comes into this matchup batting .212 with an OBP of .350. He has 80 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 378 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .407 with an OPS+ of 103. Randal Grichuk is hitting .230 this season and he has an OBP of .282. He has collected 119 hits in 517 at bats while driving in 64 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .437. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,136 base hits, including 235 doubles and 214 homers. Toronto has walked 446 times this year and they have struck out on 1,326 occasions. They have had 878 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 627 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Sox/Blue Jays MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox (-145)

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