Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds MLB Point Spread Picks 8/8/2019

Thursday, August 8, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Cole Hamels vs. Alex Wood

Great American Ball Park is the site where Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (54-58, 4th in NL Central) will take on the Chicago Cubs (61-52, 1st in NL Central) on Thursday.

The Cubs have been good for bettors, having gone 61-52-0 SU. The Reds cover 48.2% of the time, going 54-58-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been a less than ideal Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 53-57-3.

The Cubs cover 38.9% of the time as the away team, having gone 21-33-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

The Reds cover 54.5% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 30-25-0 SU.

The Reds have been a terrible Over pick for O/U bettors, having gone 43-66-3.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

8/6/2019 Brandon Kintzler RP Pectoral Expected to be out until at least Aug 16
8/5/2019 Willson Contreras C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/5/2019 Craig Kimbrel RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/3/2019 Daniel Descalso 2B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 9
8/2/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/30/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
7/20/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

8/5/2019 Derek Dietrich 2B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/2/2019 Juan Graterol C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
7/30/2019 Tyler Mahle SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/28/2019 Curt Casali C Knee Expected to be out until at least Aug 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 61-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Cole Hamels has a 6-3 record with an earned run average of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 103 strikeouts over his 104.2 innings pitched and he's given up 89 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .239 against the bullpen and they've struck out 364 hitters and walked 173 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 949 base hits and 451 earned runs. They have allowed 139 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 362 batters and struck out 977. They have walked 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.29.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .254, good for 14th in the league. The Cubs hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .332, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Kris Bryant is hitting .285 with an on-base percentage of .385. He has 115 hits this season in 403 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .529 and an OPS+ of 133. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 113 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 398 at bats. His OPS+ is 131 while his slugging percentage is at .513. The Cubs have 966 hits, including 188 doubles and 176 home runs. Chicago has walked 414 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,027 times as a unit. They have left 759 men on base and have a team OPS of .784. They score 4.96 runs per contest and have scored a total of 560 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 54-58 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.18, Alex Wood has a 1-0 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 11.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 11 hits. He's allowing 8.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.6. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 332 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 414 batters and walked 170 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 888 base knocks and 443 earned runs this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 379 hitters and struck out 1,076 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .247, good for 20th in the league. The Reds hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.3 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .339. He has 105 hits this year along with 72 RBI in 409 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .523 with an OPS+ of 117. Joey Votto is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .349. He has collected 103 hits in 398 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Reds as a unit have 929 base hits, including 160 doubles and 153 homers. Cincinnati has walked 327 times this year and they have struck out on 968 occasions. They have had 713 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 508 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cubs

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