Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips 7/28/2019

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Quintana vs. Zach Davies

Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (55-50, 3rd in NL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (55-48, 2nd in NL Central) at Miller Park on Sunday, July 28, 2019. The Cubs open this game at +105 while the Brewers are coming in at -115. The total is set at 10.

The Cubs have been a decent pick for MLB bettors, having gone 55-48-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 52.4% of the time, going 55-50-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a decent pick for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 34-29-0 SU. The Cubs cover 32.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 9-19-0 straight up.

Valuable Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Cubs have been an inconsistent Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 49-52-2.

The Cubs cover 38.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 19-30-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 58.2% of the time at Miller Park, going 32-23-0 SU.

The Brewers have been an inconsistent Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 48-53-4.

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

7/24/2019 Cole Hamels SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/23/2019 Allen Webster RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/20/2019 Brandon Morrow RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 10
7/20/2019 Xavier Cedeno RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
2/19/2019 Kendall Graveman SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/26/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Lat Expected to be out until at least Aug 14
7/26/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/26/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
7/22/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/17/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Cubs have a 55-48 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Quintana has a 8-7 record with an earned run average of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 95 strikeouts over his 112 innings pitched and he's given up 120 hits. He's allowed 9.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 305 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the bullpen and they've struck out 324 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Chicago allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.04. The Cubs pitchers collectively have given up 861 base hits and 413 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Chicago as a pitching staff has walked 342 batters and struck out 877. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Chicago is hitting .253, good for 14th in the league. The Cubs hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Javier Baez is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 119 hits this season in 414 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .548 and an OPS+ of 118. Anthony Rizzo is hitting .287 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 104 hits and he has driven in 69 men in 363 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .523. The Cubs have 880 hits, including 173 doubles and 161 home runs. Chicago has walked 382 times so far this season and they have struck out 946 times as a unit. They have left 686 men on base and have a team OPS of .784. They score 5.01 runs per contest and have scored a total of 516 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 55-50 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.17, Zach Davies has a 8-3 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 75 strikeouts over the 113.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 119 hits. He's allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.49 and they have given up 373 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 475 batters and walked 182 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.64. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 932 base knocks and 489 earned runs this season. They have given up 142 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 364 hitters and struck out 977 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .253 with an OBP of .316. He has 101 hits this year along with 35 RBI in 399 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .366 with an OPS+ of 77. Christian Yelich is hitting .334 this season and he has an OBP of .434. He has collected 119 hits in 356 at bats while driving in 78 runs. He has an OPS+ of 187 and a slugging percentage of .702. The Brewers as a unit have 894 base hits, including 178 doubles and 173 homers. Milwaukee has walked 401 times this year and they have struck out on 994 occasions. They have had 742 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They have scored 4.89 runs per game and totaled 513 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Cubs/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -115

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